Serie A | Gameweek 20
Jan 13, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Napoli2 - 1Salernitana
We said: Napoli 1-1 Salernitana
Regardless of the 16-point difference between the sides, one victory in five at the Maradona (three altogether in 23-24) means Saturday's game with Salernitana is not guaranteed to end in a Napoli victory despite the Granata's broader away woes. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 76.79%. A draw had a probability of 14.5% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 8.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.77%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-2 (2.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Napoli | Draw | Salernitana |
76.79% ( 0.01) | 14.46% ( -0) | 8.74% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 50.44% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
