Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 37.45%. A win for Torino had a probability of 35.69% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (6.57%). The likeliest Torino win was 1-0 (9.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Torino would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Torino | Draw | Napoli |
| 35.69% ( | 26.86% ( | 37.45% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.33% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.17% ( | 53.83% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.7% ( | 75.3% ( |
| Torino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.12% ( | 28.87% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.26% ( | 64.74% ( |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.17% ( | 27.82% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.58% ( | 63.42% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Torino | Draw | Napoli |
| 1-0 @ 9.98% ( 2-1 @ 7.93% ( 2-0 @ 6.2% ( 3-1 @ 3.28% ( 3-0 @ 2.57% ( 3-2 @ 2.1% ( 4-1 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 2.61% Total : 35.69% | 1-1 @ 12.76% ( 0-0 @ 8.03% ( 2-2 @ 5.07% ( Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.86% | 0-1 @ 10.27% ( 1-2 @ 8.17% ( 0-2 @ 6.57% ( 1-3 @ 3.48% ( 0-3 @ 2.8% ( 2-3 @ 2.16% ( 1-4 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 2.87% Total : 37.44% |