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Serie A | Gameweek 19
Jan 7, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
Napoli logo

Torino
3 - 0
Napoli

Sanabria (43'), Vlasic (52'), Buongiorno (66')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Zielinski (37'), Jesus (61')
Mazzocchi (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Torino and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fiorentina 1-0 Torino
Friday, December 29 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 0-0 Monza
Friday, December 29 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: Torino 1-0 Napoli

As Torino rarely concede on home soil and Napoli were unable to buy a goal over the festive period - and have since lost several key players - it will surely be a low-scoring encounter between the two clubs. One moment of magic - or even madness - could separate them at the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 37.45%. A win for Torino had a probability of 35.69% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (6.57%). The likeliest Torino win was 1-0 (9.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Torino would win this match.

Result
TorinoDrawNapoli
35.69% (0.045000000000002 0.05) 26.86% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 37.45% (-0.032999999999994 -0.03)
Both teams to score 51.33% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.17% (0.064 0.06)53.83% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.7% (0.053000000000001 0.05)75.3% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.12% (0.061000000000007 0.06)28.87% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.26% (0.076000000000001 0.08)64.74% (-0.078999999999994 -0.08)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.17% (0.010000000000005 0.01)27.82% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.58% (0.015000000000001 0.02)63.42% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Torino 35.69%
    Napoli 37.44%
    Draw 26.86%
TorinoDrawNapoli
1-0 @ 9.98% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.93% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.2% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.28% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.57% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.1% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.02% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 35.69%
1-1 @ 12.76% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.03% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.07% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.86%
0-1 @ 10.27% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.17% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 6.57% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.48% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 2.8% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.16% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.11% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 37.44%

How you voted: Torino vs Napoli

Torino
28.8%
Draw
21.6%
Napoli
49.5%
111
Head to Head
Mar 19, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 27
Torino
0-4
Napoli
Osimhen (9', 51'), Kvaratskhelia (35' pen.), Ndombele (68')
Oct 1, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 8
Napoli
3-1
Torino
Zambo Anguissa (6', 12'), Kvaratskhelia (37')
Sanabria (44')
May 7, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 36
Torino
0-1
Napoli

Vojvoda (55'), Singo (79')
Fabian (73')
Mertens (53'), Lozano (56'), Elmas (90+6')
Oct 17, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 8
Napoli
1-0
Torino
Osimhen (81')
Koulibaly (79'), Zambo Anguissa (85')

Rodriguez (37'), Linetty (55'), Pobega (75'), Milinkovic-Savic (90+7')
Apr 26, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 33
Torino
0-2
Napoli

Verdi (45+1'), Mandragora (58')
Mandragora (86')
Bakayoko (11'), Osimhen (13')
Osimhen (68')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan33275179186186
2AC Milan34217664392570
3Juventus341811547262165
4Bologna331711548262262
5Roma33177959392058
6Lazio34174134335855
7Atalanta BCAtalanta321661059372254
8Napoli331310105041949
9Fiorentina32138114536947
10Torino33111393129246
11Monza341111123644-844
12Genoa33912123540-539
13Lecce34812143149-1836
14CagliariCagliari33711153656-2032
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona34710173145-1431
16FrosinoneFrosinone34710174363-2031
17Empoli3387182648-2231
18Udinese33416133150-1928
19SassuoloSassuolo3368193965-2626
RSalernitana3429232673-4715


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