Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 19

Jan 6, 2024 at 5pm UK

Stadio Comunale Via del Mare

Lecce
1 - 1
Cagliari

Gendrey (31')
Espeto (67')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Oristanio (68')
Dossena (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Cagliari, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lecce

All competitions

Last Game: Atalanta 1-0 Lecce
Saturday, December 30 at 11.30am in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Cagliari

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: AC Milan 4-1 Cagliari
Tuesday, January 2 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 46.99%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.08%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (8.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Lecce	Draw	Cagliari
46.99% ( 0.29)	26.81% ( -0.01)	26.2% ( -0.27)

Both teams to score 47.57% (

-0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.21% (

-0.13)

56.79% (

0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.27% (

-0.1)

77.73% (

0.11)

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.83% (

0.08)

24.18% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.5% (

0.12)

58.5% (

-0.11)

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.73% (

-0.31)

37.27% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.95% (

-0.31)

74.05% (

0.31)

Score Analysis

Lecce 46.99%

Cagliari 26.2%

Draw 26.81%

Lecce	Draw	Cagliari
1-0 @ 12.79% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 9.08% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 8.96% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.3% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.24% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.51% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.49% Total : 46.99%	1-1 @ 12.62% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.01% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.75% Total : 26.81%	0-1 @ 8.89% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.23% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.73% Total : 26.2%