Coppa Italia
Jan 2, 2024 8.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Luka Jovic 29' goal
  • Luka Jovic 42' goal
  • Chaka Traore 50' goal
  • Rafael Leao 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Alessandro Di Pardo 59'
  • yellowcard Alessandro Deiola 70'
  • goal Paulo Azzi 87'
  • yellowcard Paulo Azzi 88'

AC Milan vs Cagliari - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions

Cagliari

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 58.43%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 19.04%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result

AC Milan 58.43% (+0.01)
Draw 22.52% (-0.01)
Cagliari 19.04% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.65% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.98% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 47.01% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 30.74% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 69.26% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 15.18% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 84.81% (-0.02)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5 84.22% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 15.77% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 55.1% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 44.9% (-0.02)

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5 61.33% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 38.67% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 24.59% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 75.41% (-0.01)

Score analysis

AC Milan 58.43%
Draw 22.52%
Cagliari 19.04%
AC Milan
1-0 @ 11.26%
2-0 @ 10.4%
2-1 @ 9.88%
3-0 @ 6.4% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.09% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.96% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.89% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.81% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.34% (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.09%
5-1 @ 1.04% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 58.43%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.7%
0-0 @ 6.1% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.7%
Other @ 1.02%
Total : 22.52%
Cagliari
0-1 @ 5.79% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 5.08% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.75%
1-3 @ 1.61%
2-3 @ 1.49%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 19.04%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 6
Sep 27, 2023 5.30pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT Sardegna Arena
  • Zito Luvumbo 29' goal
  • Mateusz Wieteska 42' yellowcard
  • Gabriele Zappa 53' yellowcard
  • Gaetano Oristanio 78' yellowcard
  • goal Noah Okafor 40'
  • goal Fikayo Tomori 45'
  • yellowcard Ruben Loftus-Cheek 48'
  • goal Ruben Loftus-Cheek 60'
Serie A Gameweek 30
Mar 19, 2022 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Raoul Bellanova 77' yellowcard
  • goal Ismael Bennacer 59'
Serie A Gameweek 2
Aug 29, 2021 7.45pm
4
1
HT : 4 1
FT
  • Sandro Tonali 12' goal
  • Rafael Leao 17' goal
  • Olivier Giroud 24' goal
  • Olivier Giroud 43' goal
  • Brahim Diaz 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dalbert Henrique 5'
  • goal Alessandro Deiola 15'
  • yellowcard Alessandro Deiola 38'
  • yellowcard Kevin Strootman 41'
  • yellowcard Diego Godin 62'
  • yellowcard Nahitan Nandez 84'
Serie A Gameweek 37
May 16, 2021 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Simon Kjaer 33' yellowcard
  • Davide Calabria 58' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Razvan Marin 40'
  • yellowcard Andrea Carboni 45'+1'
Serie A Gameweek 18
Jan 18, 2021 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Diego Godin 83' yellowcard
  • Luca Ceppitelli 88' yellowcard
  • goal Zlatan Ibrahimovic 7'
  • yellowcard Alessio Romagnoli 39'
  • goal Zlatan Ibrahimovic 52'
  • yellowcard Alexis Saelemaekers 68'
  • redcard Alexis Saelemaekers 74'
Serie A Gameweek 38
Aug 1, 2020 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Giuseppe Meazza
  • Ragnar Klavan 11' goal
  • Zlatan Ibrahimovic 55' goal
  • Samu Castillejo 57' goal
  • Alexis Saelemaekers 67' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gaston Pereiro 13'
  • yellowcard Paolo Farago 45'
  • yellowcard Alessio Cragno 58'