/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmillog_1.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fsaslog.png)
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Christian Pulisic
59'
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Samu Castillejo
88'
AC Milan vs Sassuolo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F49%2Fac-milan.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 56.67%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 22.69% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.38%) and 1-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 1-2 (5.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
Result
AC Milan
56.67%
▼
(-0.18)
Draw
20.63%
▼
(-0.20)
Sassuolo
22.69%
▲
(+0.38)
Both Teams to Score:
64.06%
▲
(+1.30)
Goals
Over 2.5
66.66%
▲
(+1.47)
Under 2.5
33.34%
▼
(-1.47)
Over 3.5
44.89%
▲
(+1.66)
Under 3.5
55.11%
▼
(-1.66)
Over 4.5
26.2%
▲
(+1.41)
Under 4.5
73.8%
▼
(-1.41)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5
88.2%
▲
(+0.42)
Under 0.5
11.79%
▼
(-0.42)
Over 1.5
62.99%
▲
(+0.90)
Under 1.5
37%
▼
(-0.90)
Sassuolo Goals
Over 0.5
72.62%
▲
(+1.14)
Under 0.5
27.37%
▼
(-1.14)
Over 1.5
37.16%
▲
(+1.45)
Under 1.5
62.83%
▼
(-1.45)
Score analysis
AC Milan
56.67%
Draw
20.63%
Sassuolo
22.69%
AC Milan
2-1
@
9.56%
▼
(-0.11)
2-0 @ 7.38% ▼ (-0.33)
1-0 @ 6.9% ▼ (-0.43)
3-1 @ 6.81% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 5.26% ▼ (-0.14)
3-2 @ 4.41% ▲ (+0.17)
4-1 @ 3.64% ▲ (+0.08)
4-0 @ 2.81% ▼ (-0.03)
4-2 @ 2.36% ▲ (+0.13)
5-1 @ 1.56% ▲ (+0.07)
5-0 @ 1.2% ▲ (+0.01)
4-3 @ 1.02% ▼ (-92.39)
5-2 @ 1.01% ▼ (-92.90)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 56.67%
2-0 @ 7.38% ▼ (-0.33)
1-0 @ 6.9% ▼ (-0.43)
3-1 @ 6.81% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 5.26% ▼ (-0.14)
3-2 @ 4.41% ▲ (+0.17)
4-1 @ 3.64% ▲ (+0.08)
4-0 @ 2.81% ▼ (-0.03)
4-2 @ 2.36% ▲ (+0.13)
5-1 @ 1.56% ▲ (+0.07)
5-0 @ 1.2% ▲ (+0.01)
4-3 @ 1.02% ▼ (-92.39)
5-2 @ 1.01% ▼ (-92.90)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 56.67%
Draw
1-1
@
8.94%
▼
(-0.25)
2-2 @ 6.19% ▲ (+0.13)
0-0 @ 3.23% ▼ (-0.26)
3-3 @ 1.91% ▲ (+0.13)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 20.63%
2-2 @ 6.19% ▲ (+0.13)
0-0 @ 3.23% ▼ (-0.26)
3-3 @ 1.91% ▲ (+0.13)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 20.63%
Sassuolo
1-2
@
5.79%
▲
(+0.03)
0-1 @ 4.18% ▼ (-0.19)
0-2 @ 2.71% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 2.67% ▲ (+0.14)
1-3 @ 2.5% ▲ (+0.09)
0-3 @ 1.17% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 22.69%
0-1 @ 4.18% ▼ (-0.19)
0-2 @ 2.71% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 2.67% ▲ (+0.14)
1-3 @ 2.5% ▲ (+0.09)
0-3 @ 1.17% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 22.69%
