Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 18

Dec 30, 2023 at 5pm UK

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

AC Milan
1 - 0
Sassuolo

Pulisic (59')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Castillejo (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Sassuolo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Salernitana 2-2 AC Milan
Friday, December 22 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sassuolo

All competitions

Last Game: Sassuolo 1-2 Genoa
Friday, December 22 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 56.67%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 22.69% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.38%) and 1-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 1-2 (5.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
AC Milan	Draw	Sassuolo
56.67% ( -0.18)	20.63% ( -0.2)	22.69% ( 0.37)

Both teams to score 64.06% (

1.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.66% (

1.46)

33.34% (

-1.46)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.89% (

1.65)

55.11% (

-1.66)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.2% (

0.42)

11.79% (

-0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.99% (

0.89)

37% (

-0.89)

Sassuolo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.62% (

1.13)

27.37% (

-1.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.16% (

1.45)

62.83% (

-1.45)

Score Analysis

AC Milan 56.67%

Sassuolo 22.69%

Draw 20.63%

AC Milan	Draw	Sassuolo
2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 7.38% ( -0.32) 1-0 @ 6.9% ( -0.42) 3-1 @ 6.81% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 5.26% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 4.41% ( 0.16) 4-1 @ 3.64% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 2.81% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 2.36% ( 0.12) 5-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.06) 5-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) 4-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.08) 5-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.78% Total : 56.67%	1-1 @ 8.94% ( -0.25) 2-2 @ 6.19% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 3.23% ( -0.25) 3-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.13) Other @ 0.37% Total : 20.63%	1-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 4.18% ( -0.19) 0-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.67% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.66% Total : 22.69%