Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for Torino had a probability of 31.45% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.07%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Torino win was 0-1 (10.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.