Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for Torino had a probability of 31.45% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.07%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Torino win was 0-1 (10.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cagliari | Draw | Torino |
| 40.07% ( | 28.48% ( | 31.45% ( |
| Both teams to score 45.72% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.5% ( | 60.5% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.38% ( | 80.62% ( |
| Cagliari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.47% ( | 29.53% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.45% ( | 65.55% ( |
| Torino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.88% ( | 35.12% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.13% ( | 71.87% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Cagliari | Draw | Torino |
| 1-0 @ 12.65% ( 2-1 @ 8.07% ( 2-0 @ 7.72% ( 3-1 @ 3.28% ( 3-0 @ 3.14% ( 3-2 @ 1.72% ( 4-1 @ 1% ( 4-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.53% Total : 40.07% | 1-1 @ 13.23% 0-0 @ 10.37% ( 2-2 @ 4.22% ( Other @ 0.65% Total : 28.47% | 0-1 @ 10.85% ( 1-2 @ 6.93% ( 0-2 @ 5.68% ( 1-3 @ 2.42% ( 0-3 @ 1.98% ( 2-3 @ 1.47% ( Other @ 2.13% Total : 31.45% |