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Serie A | Gameweek 22
Jan 28, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Napoli logo

Lazio
0 - 0
Napoli


Romagnoli (55'), Gila (69'), Cataldi (82')
FT

Demme (49'), Skiri Oestigaard (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Lazio and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Milan 3-0 Lazio
Friday, January 19 at 7pm in Supercoppa Italiana
Last Game: Napoli 0-1 Inter Milan
Monday, January 22 at 7pm in Supercoppa Italiana

We said: Lazio 1-1 Napoli

Lazio and Napoli have not drawn any of their last 14 Serie A contests, with four wins for the Biancocelesti and 10 for their Neapolitan rivals. A first stalemate since November 2016 could be on the cards, though, as both teams are diminished by absences and may be satisfied with a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 36.35%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 35.1% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.65%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-0 (11.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
LazioDrawNapoli
35.1% (-0.071000000000005 -0.07) 28.54% (-0.017999999999997 -0.02) 36.35% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 46.17% (0.052 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.76% (0.067 0.07)60.23% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.58% (0.053000000000001 0.05)80.41% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.55% (-0.012 -0.01)32.45% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.03% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)68.97% (0.015999999999991 0.02)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.35% (0.091999999999999 0.09)31.64% (-0.089000000000002 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.94% (0.105 0.11)68.05% (-0.102 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Lazio 35.1%
    Napoli 36.35%
    Draw 28.53%
LazioDrawNapoli
1-0 @ 11.55% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 7.48% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.5% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 2.44% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.62% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 35.1%
1-1 @ 13.29% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 10.26% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.31% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 28.53%
0-1 @ 11.81%
1-2 @ 7.65% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.8% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.94% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.61% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.65% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 36.35%

How you voted: Lazio vs Napoli

Lazio
58.3%
Draw
28.8%
Napoli
12.9%
139
Head to Head
Sep 2, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Napoli
1-2
Lazio
Zielinski (32')
Garcia (34')
Alberto (30'), Kamada (52')
Zaccagni (26'), Alberto (60'), Sarri (88')
Mar 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Napoli
0-1
Lazio
Vecino (67')
Sep 3, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Lazio
1-2
Napoli
Zaccagni (4')
Milinkovic-Savic (67'), Anderson (70'), Cataldi (70'), Sarri (90'), Marusic (90+4')
Min-jae (38'), Kvaratskhelia (61')
Spalletti (81')
Feb 27, 2022 7.50pm
Gameweek 27
Lazio
1-2
Napoli
Pedro (88')
Radu (71'), Immobile (79'), Zaccagni (82')
Insigne (62'), Fabian (90+4')
Rui (90+3'), Fabian (90+7')
Nov 28, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Napoli
4-0
Lazio
Zielinski (7'), Mertens (10', 29'), Fabian (85')
Di Lorenzo (78'), Demme (88')

Felipe (13'), Patric (35'), Cataldi (59'), Zaccagni (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan33275179186186
2AC Milan33216664392569
3Juventus331810547262164
4Bologna331711548262262
5Roma33177959392058
6Atalanta BCAtalanta321661059372254
7Lazio33164134235752
8Napoli331310105041949
9Fiorentina32138114536947
10Torino33111393129246
11Monza341111123644-844
12Genoa33912123540-539
13Lecce34812143149-1836
14CagliariCagliari33711153656-2032
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona33710163144-1331
16FrosinoneFrosinone34710174363-2031
17Empoli3387182648-2231
18Udinese33416133150-1928
19SassuoloSassuolo3368193965-2626
RSalernitana3429232673-4715


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