Supercoppa Italiana
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-
Giovanni Simeone
22'
-
Alessio Zerbin
84'
-
Alessio Zerbin
86'
-
Cristiano Biraghi
51'
Napoli vs Fiorentina - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 48.59%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 27.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
Result
Napoli
48.59%
▲
(+2.15)
Draw
24.2%
▼
(-0.17)
Fiorentina
27.21%
▼
(-1.99)
Both Teams to Score:
56.39%
▼
(-0.93)
Goals
Over 2.5
54.36%
▼
(-0.56)
Under 2.5
45.64%
▲
(+0.55)
Over 3.5
32.03%
▼
(-0.53)
Under 3.5
67.96%
▲
(+0.53)
Over 4.5
16.1%
▼
(-0.38)
Under 4.5
83.9%
▲
(+0.38)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5
81.13%
▲
(+0.66)
Under 0.5
18.87%
▼
(-0.67)
Over 1.5
49.66%
▲
(+1.09)
Under 1.5
50.34%
▼
(-1.10)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5
69.5%
▼
(-1.73)
Under 0.5
30.49%
▲
(+1.72)
Over 1.5
33.29%
▼
(-2.10)
Under 1.5
66.71%
▲
(+2.09)
Score analysis
Napoli
48.59%
Draw
24.2%
Fiorentina
27.21%
Napoli
1-0
@
9.6%
▲
(+0.42)
2-1 @ 9.5% ▲ (+0.17)
2-0 @ 8% ▲ (+0.51)
3-1 @ 5.28% ▲ (+0.21)
3-0 @ 4.45% ▲ (+0.37)
3-2 @ 3.14% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 2.2% ▲ (+0.13)
4-0 @ 1.85% ▲ (+0.19)
4-2 @ 1.31% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 48.59%
2-1 @ 9.5% ▲ (+0.17)
2-0 @ 8% ▲ (+0.51)
3-1 @ 5.28% ▲ (+0.21)
3-0 @ 4.45% ▲ (+0.37)
3-2 @ 3.14% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 2.2% ▲ (+0.13)
4-0 @ 1.85% ▲ (+0.19)
4-2 @ 1.31% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 48.59%
Draw
1-1
@
11.39%
▼
(-0.04)
0-0 @ 5.75% ▲ (+0.14)
2-2 @ 5.64% ▼ (-0.18)
3-3 @ 1.24% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.2%
0-0 @ 5.75% ▲ (+0.14)
2-2 @ 5.64% ▼ (-0.18)
3-3 @ 1.24% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.2%
Fiorentina
0-1
@
6.83%
▼
(-0.17)
1-2 @ 6.77% ▼ (-0.36)
0-2 @ 4.06% ▼ (-0.31)
1-3 @ 2.68% ▼ (-0.28)
2-3 @ 2.23% ▼ (-0.19)
0-3 @ 1.61% ▼ (-0.21)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 27.21%
1-2 @ 6.77% ▼ (-0.36)
0-2 @ 4.06% ▼ (-0.31)
1-3 @ 2.68% ▼ (-0.28)
2-3 @ 2.23% ▼ (-0.19)
0-3 @ 1.61% ▼ (-0.21)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 27.21%
Head to Head
Serie A
Gameweek
8
-
Victor Osimhen
45'+5'
-
Giovanni Simeone
90'+1'
-
Jens Cajuste
90'+5'
-
Josip Brekalo
7'
-
Pietro Terracciano
45'+4'
-
Giacomo Bonaventura
63'
-
Lucas Martinez
69'
-
Giacomo Bonaventura
70'
-
Luca Ranieri
89'
-
Nicolas Gonzalez
90'+3'
Serie A
Gameweek
34
-
Victor Osimhen
74'
Serie A
Gameweek
3
-
Lucas Martinez
60'
-
Luka Jovic
68'
-
Andre-Frank Zambo Anguissa
3'
-
Luciano Spalletti
19'
-
Giacomo Raspadori
90'
-
Tanguy Ndombele
90'+3'
Serie A
Gameweek
32
-
Dries Mertens
58'
-
Victor Osimhen
84'
-
Nikola Milenkovic
11'
-
Nicolas Gonzalez
29'
-
Jonathan Ikone
66'
-
Arthur Cabral
72'
-
Arthur Cabral
73'
-
Jonathan Ikone
88'
Coppa Italia
-
Dries Mertens
44'
-
Amir Rrahmani
56'
-
Fabian
77'
-
Hirving Lozano
84'
-
Axel Tuanzebe
85'
-
Fabian
90'+3'
-
Andrea Petagna
90'+5'
-
Alfred Duncan
23'
-
Dusan Vlahovic
41'
-
Bartlomiej Dragowski
45'+2'
-
Cristiano Biraghi
57'
-
Gaetano Castrovilli
59'
-
Lorenzo Venuti
105'+1'
-
Krzysztof Piatek
108'
-
Youssef Maleh
119'
Serie A
Gameweek
7
-
Lucas Martinez
28'
-
Giacomo Bonaventura
31'
-
Lucas Martinez
36'
-
Vincenzo Italiano
41'
-
Erick Pulgar
52'
-
Hirving Lozano
39'
-
Amir Rrahmani
50'
-
Andre-Frank Zambo Anguissa
54'
-
Mario Rui
67'
-
Diego Demme
90'+1'