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Serie A | Gameweek 19
Jan 6, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
MAPEI Stadium - Citta del Tricolore
Fiorentina logo

Sassuolo
1 - 0
Fiorentina

Pinamonti (9')
Henrique (34'), Pinamonti (52'), Berardi (69')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Martinez (35'), Ikone (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Sassuolo and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atalanta 3-1 Sassuolo
Wednesday, January 3 at 5pm in Coppa Italia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 47.31%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 27.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.35%) and 0-2 (8.21%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 1-0 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
SassuoloDrawFiorentina
27.61% (0.131 0.13)25.08% (0.02 0.02)47.31% (-0.152 -0.15)
Both teams to score 53.85% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.87% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)49.13% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.8% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)71.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Sassuolo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.99% (0.101 0.1)32.01% (-0.1 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.52% (0.114 0.11)68.47% (-0.114 -0.11)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.2% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)20.79% (0.067 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.54% (-0.106 -0.11)53.45% (0.106 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Sassuolo 27.61%
    Fiorentina 47.31%
    Draw 25.07%
SassuoloDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 7.58% (0.022 0.02)
2-1 @ 6.78% (0.024 0.02)
2-0 @ 4.32% (0.025 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.58% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.02% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.64% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 27.61%
1-1 @ 11.9% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.66% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.33% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.07%
0-1 @ 10.45% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 9.35% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.21% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
1-3 @ 4.9% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 4.3% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.79% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.92% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.69% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.1% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 47.31%

How you voted: Sassuolo vs Fiorentina

Sassuolo
9.2%
Draw
12.6%
Fiorentina
78.2%
87
Head to Head
Jun 2, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 38
Sassuolo
1-3
Fiorentina
Berardi (71' pen.)
Berardi (32'), Ruan (55'), Marchizza (90+2')
Ruan (81'), Rogerio (87')
Cabral (46'), Saponara (79'), Gonzalez (83')
Terzic (7'), Ranieri (32'), Kouame (45'), Cabral (70')
Jan 7, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 17
Fiorentina
2-1
Sassuolo
Saponara (48'), Gonzalez (90+1' pen.)
Berardi (57' pen.)
Feb 26, 2022 7.50pm
Gameweek 27
Sassuolo
2-1
Fiorentina
Traore (19'), Defrel (90+4')
Lopez (70')
Cabral (88')
Italiano (68'), Bonaventura (79')
Bonaventura (79')
Dec 19, 2021 11.30am
Gameweek 18
Fiorentina
2-2
Sassuolo
Vlahovic (51'), Torreira (61')
Biraghi (44'), Martinez (58'), Italiano (58')
Biraghi (68')
Scamacca (32'), Frattesi (37')
Toljan (27'), Chiriches (54'), Traore (56'), Scamacca (59'), Frattesi (71')
Apr 17, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 31
Sassuolo
3-1
Fiorentina
Berardi (59' pen., 62' pen.), Lopez (75')
Traore (13'), Lopez (45+1'), Muldur (70')
Bonaventura (31')
Castrovilli (15'), Milenkovic (28'), Biraghi (68'), Eysseric (81'), Pulgar (90+1')