Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 47.31%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 27.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.35%) and 0-2 (8.21%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 1-0 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sassuolo | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 27.61% ( | 25.08% ( | 47.31% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.85% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.87% ( | 49.13% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.8% ( | 71.2% ( |
| Sassuolo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.99% ( | 32.01% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.52% ( | 68.47% ( |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.2% ( | 20.79% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.54% ( | 53.45% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sassuolo | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 1-0 @ 7.58% ( 2-1 @ 6.78% ( 2-0 @ 4.32% ( 3-1 @ 2.58% ( 3-2 @ 2.02% ( 3-0 @ 1.64% ( Other @ 2.69% Total : 27.61% | 1-1 @ 11.9% ( 0-0 @ 6.66% ( 2-2 @ 5.33% ( 3-3 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.07% | 0-1 @ 10.45% ( 1-2 @ 9.35% ( 0-2 @ 8.21% ( 1-3 @ 4.9% ( 0-3 @ 4.3% ( 2-3 @ 2.79% ( 1-4 @ 1.92% ( 0-4 @ 1.69% ( 2-4 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 2.61% Total : 47.31% |