Europa League

Europa League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 2nd Leg

Feb 22, 2024 at 5.45pm UK

Schwarzwald-Stadion

Freiburg
3 - 2
Lens

(Freiburg win 3-2 on aggregate)

Sallai (67', 90+2'), Gregoritsch (99')
Holer (43'), Kubler (61'), Streich (66')

FT
(aet)

Costa (28'), Wahi (45+2')
Frankowski (65'), Sotoca (67'), Fulgini (95'), Medina (105+2'), Samba (120+2'), Said (120+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Freiburg and Lens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Freiburg 3-3 Frankfurt
Sunday, February 18 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lens

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Reims 1-1 Lens
Sunday, February 18 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 37.99%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 36.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.01%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 2-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%).

Result
Freiburg	Draw	Lens
36.88% ( -0.14)	25.12% ( -0.02)	37.99% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 57.32% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.77% (

0.07)

46.22% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.48% (

0.07)

68.52% (

-0.07)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.41% (

-0.04)

24.59% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.91% (

-0.06)

59.08% (

0.06)

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76% (

0.12)

23.99% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.76% (

0.17)

58.24% (

-0.17)

Score Analysis

Freiburg 36.88%

Lens 37.99%

Draw 25.12%

Freiburg	Draw	Lens
2-1 @ 8.29% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.28% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 5.81% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.88% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.77% 3-0 @ 2.72% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0) 4-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.88% Total : 36.88%	1-1 @ 11.81% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.9% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( 0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.12%	1-2 @ 8.43% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.42% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.01% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.01% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.86% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.99% Total : 37.99%