Ligue 1
Gameweek
20
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-
Tino Kadewere
27'
-
Douglas
61'
-
David Costa
48'
-
Ruben Aguilar
81'
-
Kevin Danso
82'
Nantes vs Lens - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 31.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (7.56%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-0 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Lens in this match.
Result
Nantes
31.55%
▲
(+1.57)
Draw
26.92%
▼
(-0.14)
Lens
41.53%
▼
(-1.44)
Both Teams to Score:
50.28%
▲
(+1.07)
Goals
Over 2.5
45.23%
▲
(+1.05)
Under 2.5
54.77%
▼
(-1.05)
Over 3.5
23.92%
▲
(+0.86)
Under 3.5
76.08%
▼
(-0.86)
Over 4.5
10.68%
▲
(+0.54)
Under 4.5
89.32%
▼
(-0.54)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5
67.95%
▲
(+1.68)
Under 0.5
32.05%
▼
(-1.68)
Over 1.5
31.48%
▲
(+1.87)
Under 1.5
68.52%
▼
(-1.87)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5
74%
▼
(-0.28)
Under 0.5
26%
▲
(+0.28)
Over 1.5
38.97%
▼
(-0.37)
Under 1.5
61.02%
▲
(+0.37)
Score analysis
Nantes
31.55%
Draw
26.92%
Lens
41.52%
Nantes
1-0
@
9.48%
▲
(+0.05)
2-1 @ 7.27% ▲ (+0.31)
2-0 @ 5.39% ▲ (+0.27)
3-1 @ 2.76% ▲ (+0.24)
3-0 @ 2.05% ▲ (+0.19)
3-2 @ 1.86% ▲ (+0.15)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 31.55%
2-1 @ 7.27% ▲ (+0.31)
2-0 @ 5.39% ▲ (+0.27)
3-1 @ 2.76% ▲ (+0.24)
3-0 @ 2.05% ▲ (+0.19)
3-2 @ 1.86% ▲ (+0.15)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 31.55%
Draw
1-1
@
12.77%
▼
(-0.04)
0-0 @ 8.33% ▼ (-0.35)
2-2 @ 4.89% ▲ (+0.18)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.92%
0-0 @ 8.33% ▼ (-0.35)
2-2 @ 4.89% ▲ (+0.18)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.92%
Lens
0-1
@
11.22%
▼
(-0.56)
1-2 @ 8.6% ▼ (-0.09)
0-2 @ 7.56% ▼ (-0.44)
1-3 @ 3.86% ▼ (-0.07)
0-3 @ 3.4% ▼ (-0.23)
2-3 @ 2.2% ▲ (+0.07)
1-4 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.04)
0-4 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 41.52%
1-2 @ 8.6% ▼ (-0.09)
0-2 @ 7.56% ▼ (-0.44)
1-3 @ 3.86% ▼ (-0.07)
0-3 @ 3.4% ▼ (-0.23)
2-3 @ 2.2% ▲ (+0.07)
1-4 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.04)
0-4 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 41.52%
