Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 17

Dec 20, 2023 at 8pm UK

Parc Olympique Lyonnais

Lyon
1 - 0
Nantes

Lacazette (49')
Tagliafico (90+7')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Centonze (8'), Duverne (31')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Lyon and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lyon

All competitions

Last Game: Monaco 0-1 Lyon
Friday, December 15 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Nantes

All competitions

Last Game: Nantes 0-2 Brest
Sunday, December 17 at 12pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 58.72%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 19.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.23%) and 2-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.94%), while for a Nantes win it was 1-2 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.

Result
Lyon	Draw	Nantes
58.72% ( -0.04)	21.36% ( 0.01)	19.91% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 57% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.35% (

0.02)

40.64% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.97% (

0.02)

63.03% (

-0.02)

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.45% (

-0.01)

13.55% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.36% (

-0.01)

40.63% (

0.01)

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.94% (

0.04)

34.06% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.25% (

0.05)

70.74% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Lyon 58.72%

Nantes 19.91%

Draw 21.36%

Lyon	Draw	Nantes
2-1 @ 9.93% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.23% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.22% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.62% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.14% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.56% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.31% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.07% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.78% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.32% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.23% ( -0) Other @ 3.32% Total : 58.72%	1-1 @ 9.94% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.35% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.62% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 21.36%	1-2 @ 5.35% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.97% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.68% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( 0) 0-3 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 2.11% Total : 19.91%