Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 54.21%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 23.52% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.65%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest Lyon win was 1-2 (6.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Monaco | Draw | Lyon |
| 54.21% ( | 22.28% | 23.52% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.15% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.75% | 40.25% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.38% | 62.62% ( |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.16% | 14.84% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.85% ( | 43.15% ( |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.46% ( | 30.54% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.24% ( | 66.76% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Monaco | Draw | Lyon |
| 2-1 @ 9.78% 1-0 @ 8.65% 2-0 @ 8.25% ( 3-1 @ 6.22% 3-0 @ 5.25% ( 3-2 @ 3.69% 4-1 @ 2.97% 4-0 @ 2.5% 4-2 @ 1.76% 5-1 @ 1.13% 5-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.06% Total : 54.21% | 1-1 @ 10.25% 2-2 @ 5.8% 0-0 @ 4.53% 3-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.27% | 1-2 @ 6.08% ( 0-1 @ 5.38% 0-2 @ 3.19% 1-3 @ 2.41% 2-3 @ 2.29% 0-3 @ 1.26% ( Other @ 2.91% Total : 23.52% |