Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 48.53%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 29.24% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.71%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Monaco win was 1-2 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Monaco in this match.