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Ligue 1

Monaco
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 14
Dec 3, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade Louis II.
Montpellier

Monaco
2 - 0
Montpellier

Minamino (9'), Ben Yedder (90+2')
Vanderson (20'), Golovin (75')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Savanier (45'), Chotard (84'), Tchato (90')
Kouyate (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Monaco and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monaco

All competitions
Last Game: PSG 5-2 Monaco
Friday, November 24 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Montpellier HSC

All competitions
Last Game: Montpellier 1-1 Clermont
Wednesday, November 29 at 6pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 58.1%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 20.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.74%) and 1-0 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.74%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-2 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.

Result
MonacoDrawMontpellier HSC
58.1% (0.882 0.88)21.22% (-0.427 -0.43)20.68% (-0.454 -0.45)
Both teams to score 58.8% (0.786 0.79)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.13% (1.365 1.37)38.86% (-1.364 -1.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.82% (1.422 1.42)61.18% (-1.421 -1.42)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.84% (0.71499999999999 0.71)13.16% (-0.714 -0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.15% (1.428 1.43)39.85% (-1.428 -1.43)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.71% (0.351 0.35)32.29% (-0.35100000000001 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.21% (0.395 0.4)68.79% (-0.393 -0.39)
Score Analysis
    Monaco 58.1%
    Montpellier HSC 20.68%
    Draw 21.22%
MonacoDrawMontpellier HSC
2-1 @ 9.88% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.74% (-0.095000000000001 -0.1)
1-0 @ 8.62% (-0.327 -0.33)
3-1 @ 6.68% (0.165 0.17)
3-0 @ 5.91% (0.091 0.09)
3-2 @ 3.77% (0.128 0.13)
4-1 @ 3.39% (0.17 0.17)
4-0 @ 3% (0.123 0.12)
4-2 @ 1.91% (0.114 0.11)
5-1 @ 1.37% (0.103 0.1)
5-0 @ 1.22% (0.08 0.08)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 58.1%
1-1 @ 9.74% (-0.269 -0.27)
2-2 @ 5.58% (0.046 0.05)
0-0 @ 4.25% (-0.279 -0.28)
3-3 @ 1.42% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 21.22%
1-2 @ 5.51% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-1 @ 4.8% (-0.267 -0.27)
0-2 @ 2.72% (-0.123 -0.12)
2-3 @ 2.1% (0.038 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.08% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.02% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 20.68%

How you voted: Monaco vs Montpellier

Monaco
90.9%
Draw
6.1%
Montpellier HSC
3.0%
33
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 33
Monaco
0-4
Montpellier
Nordin (28', 72'), Maouassa (65'), Mavididi (79')
> Preview
Oct 9, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 10
Montpellier
0-2
Monaco
Embolo (45+1'), Boadu (80')
> Preview
Jan 23, 2022 4.05pm
Gameweek 22
Montpellier
3-2
Monaco
Wahi (13'), Mavididi (32', 90+1')
Mavididi (90+1'), Sambia (90+1')
Ben Yedder (34'), Vanderson (82')
Henrique (10'), Aguilar (65')
> Preview
Oct 24, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 11
Monaco
3-1
Montpellier
Volland (12'), Ben Yedder (17'), Martins (62')
Maripan (24')
Savanier (81' pen.)
Cozza (43'), Ristic (52'), Makouana (66'), Savanier (87')
> Preview
Jan 15, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 20
Montpellier
2-3
Monaco
Wahi (64'), Delort (69')
Chotard (83'), Savanier (90')
Volland (24'), Ben Yedder (35', 61')
Fofana (17'), Aguilar (59'), Maripan (88')
> Preview