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Ligue 1

Lyon
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 15
Dec 10, 2023 at 4.05pm UK
Parc Olympique Lyonnais
Toulouse

Lyon
3 - 0
Toulouse

Lacazette (25', 29', 80')
Diawara (68'), Moreira (87')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Magri (25'), Sierro (41'), Donnum (63'), Diarra (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lyon and Toulouse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lyon

All competitions
Last Game: Marseille 3-0 Lyon
Wednesday, December 6 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Toulouse

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 1-1 Lorient
Sunday, December 3 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 54.92%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 22.97% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.67%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 1-2 (5.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.

Result
LyonDrawToulouse
54.92% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)22.11%22.97% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 59.03% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.91%40.09% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.54%62.46% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.44% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)14.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)42.6% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.08% (0.00099999999999056 0)30.92% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.79% (0.0030000000000001 0)67.21% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Score Analysis
    Lyon 54.92%
    Toulouse 22.97%
    Draw 22.11%
LyonDrawToulouse
2-1 @ 9.81%
1-0 @ 8.67% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 8.36% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 6.3% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 5.37% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 3.7%
4-1 @ 3.04%
4-0 @ 2.59%
4-2 @ 1.78%
5-1 @ 1.17% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1%
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 54.92%
1-1 @ 10.18%
2-2 @ 5.76%
0-0 @ 4.5%
3-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.11%
1-2 @ 5.98% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 5.28%
0-2 @ 3.1%
1-3 @ 2.34% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.25% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 22.97%

How you voted: Lyon vs Toulouse

Lyon
35.0%
Draw
30.0%
Toulouse
35.0%
20
Head to Head
Apr 14, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 31
Toulouse
1-2
Lyon
Aboukhlal (37')
Lacazette (34' pen.), Costa (88' og.)
> Preview
Oct 7, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 10
Lyon
1-1
Toulouse
Tete (2')
Ratao (67')
> Preview
Jan 26, 2020 2pm
Gameweek 21
Lyon
3-0
Toulouse
Cornet (29'), Dembele (71'), Toko Ekambi (77')

Vainqueur (46')
Dec 18, 2019 5.45pm
Round of 16
Lyon
4-1
Toulouse
Traore (2', 57'), Lucas (17'), Terrier (92')
Lucas (24'), Traore (53')
Kone (47')
Nov 2, 2019 7pm
Gameweek 12
Toulouse
2-3
Lyon
Sanogo (15'), Lopes (57' og.)
Goncalves (46'), Kone (82'), Vainqueur (84')
Depay (26', 95'), Dembele (67')
rhs 2.0


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