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Nantes
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 16
Dec 17, 2023 at 12pm UK
Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
Brest logo

Nantes
0 - 2
Brest


Lafont (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Magnetti (49'), Mounie (57')
Camara (28'), Le Douaron (86'), Satriano (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Nantes and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PSG 2-1 Nantes
Saturday, December 9 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Metz 0-1 Brest
Sunday, December 10 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 39.2%. A win for Brest had a probability of 33.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
NantesDrawBrest
39.2% (0.354 0.35)26.91% (-0.143 -0.14)33.88% (-0.213 -0.21)
Both teams to score 50.96% (0.407 0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.79% (0.533 0.53)54.21% (-0.535 -0.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.38% (0.442 0.44)75.61% (-0.444 -0.44)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73% (0.449 0.45)27% (-0.451 -0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.64% (0.584 0.58)62.35% (-0.585 -0.59)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.8% (0.128 0.13)30.19% (-0.13 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.65% (0.154 0.15)66.35% (-0.15600000000001 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Nantes 39.2%
    Brest 33.88%
    Draw 26.91%
NantesDrawBrest
1-0 @ 10.67% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-1 @ 8.37% (0.068 0.07)
2-0 @ 6.99% (0.032 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.65% (0.075 0.08)
3-0 @ 3.05% (0.053 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.19% (0.053 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.2% (0.04 0.04)
4-0 @ 1% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 39.2%
1-1 @ 12.78% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 8.15% (-0.172 -0.17)
2-2 @ 5.01% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.91%
0-1 @ 9.76% (-0.17 -0.17)
1-2 @ 7.65% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.85% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-3 @ 3.06% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.33% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2% (0.03 0.03)
1-4 @ 0.92% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 33.88%

How you voted: Nantes vs Brest

Nantes
40.7%
Draw
18.5%
Brest
40.7%
27
Head to Head
May 3, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 33
Brest
2-0
Nantes
Oct 16, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 11
Nantes
4-1
Brest
Simon (35' pen.), Ganago (36'), Mohamed (71'), Sissoko (88')
Fadiga (18')
Apr 10, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 31
Brest
1-1
Nantes
Chardonnet (67')
Herelle (64')
Kolo (10')
Chirivella (43'), Castelletto (70'), Da Silva (90+4')
Jan 28, 2022 8pm
Round of 16
Nantes
2-0
Brest
Blas (25', 53')

Brassier (33'), Herelle (51'), Chardonnet (72')
Sep 22, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 7
Nantes
3-1
Brest
Blas (27'), Chirivella (55'), Brassier (58' og.)
Castelletto (31')
Le Douaron (67')
Chardonnet (52'), Brassier (85')