Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 40.63%. A win for Brest had a probability of 31.78% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (10.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.