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Ligue 1

Lille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 14
Dec 3, 2023 at 4.05pm UK
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Metz logo

Lille
2 - 0
Metz

Yazici (45+2'), David (45+6' pen.)
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Metz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lille

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Ljubljana 0-2 Lille
Thursday, November 30 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

Metz

All competitions
Last Game: Lorient 2-3 Metz
Sunday, November 26 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 60.92%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Metz had a probability of 17.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.98%), while for a Metz win it was 0-1 (5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.

Result
LilleDrawMetz
60.92% (-0.657 -0.66)21.16% (0.074999999999999 0.07)17.92% (0.579 0.58)
Both teams to score 54.04% (0.913 0.91)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.18% (0.637 0.64)42.82% (-0.64 -0.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.78% (0.63 0.63)65.22% (-0.63199999999999 -0.63)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.41% (0.007000000000005 0.01)13.59% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.29% (0.012999999999998 0.01)40.7% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Metz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.53% (1.05 1.05)37.46% (-1.052 -1.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.75% (1.017 1.02)74.24% (-1.02 -1.02)
Score Analysis
    Lille 60.92%
    Metz 17.92%
    Draw 21.16%
LilleDrawMetz
1-0 @ 10.16% (-0.28 -0.28)
2-0 @ 10.14% (-0.28 -0.28)
2-1 @ 9.96% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.75% (-0.188 -0.19)
3-1 @ 6.62% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.37% (-0.093 -0.09)
4-1 @ 3.31% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 3.25% (0.096 0.1)
4-2 @ 1.62% (0.048 0.05)
5-0 @ 1.34% (-0.037 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.32% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 60.92%
1-1 @ 9.98% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.09% (-0.146 -0.15)
2-2 @ 4.89% (0.142 0.14)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 21.16%
0-1 @ 5% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-2 @ 4.9% (0.141 0.14)
0-2 @ 2.45% (0.07 0.07)
1-3 @ 1.6% (0.09 0.09)
2-3 @ 1.6% (0.09 0.09)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 17.92%

How you voted: Lille vs Metz

Lille
84.0%
Draw
16.0%
Metz
0.0%
25
Head to Head
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Metz
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Zhegrova (90+1'), Gourvennec (90+5')
Maiga (22'), Kouyate (67'), Caillard (79'), Amadou (90+7')
> Preview
Aug 8, 2021 4pm
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3-3
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Centonze (31', 52'), Udol (41')
Bronn (56')
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Ikone (79'), Yilmaz (83')
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Apr 9, 2021 8pm
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Kouyate (65'), Sarr (76')
Yilmaz (60'), Celik (89')
Fonte (16'), Yilmaz (45+2')
> Preview
Sep 13, 2020 12pm
Gameweek 3
Lille
1-0
Metz
Araujo (88')
Pied (31'), Bradaric (57'), Andre (80'), C. (80'), Celik (84')

Maiga (20'), Bronn (36'), Pajot (43'), Centonze (75')
> Preview
Apr 11, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 32
Metz
P-P
Lille