/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Flillog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F41%2Fmetlog.png)
-
Yusuf Yazici
45'+2'
-
Jonathan David
45'+6'
Lille vs Metz - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F43%2Fpaulo-fonseca.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 60.92%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Metz had a probability of 17.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.98%), while for a Metz win it was 0-1 (5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.
Result
Lille
60.92%
▼
(-0.66)
Draw
21.16%
▲
(+0.08)
Metz
17.92%
▲
(+0.58)
Both Teams to Score:
54.04%
▲
(+0.92)
Goals
Over 2.5
57.18%
▲
(+0.64)
Under 2.5
42.82%
▼
(-0.65)
Over 3.5
34.78%
▲
(+0.64)
Under 3.5
65.22%
▼
(-0.64)
Over 4.5
18.1%
▲
(+0.47)
Under 4.5
81.9%
▼
(-0.47)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5
86.41%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
13.59%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
59.29%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 1.5
40.7%
▼
(-0.02)
Metz Goals
Over 0.5
62.53%
▲
(+1.06)
Under 0.5
37.46%
▼
(-1.06)
Over 1.5
25.75%
▲
(+1.02)
Under 1.5
74.24%
▼
(-1.02)
Score analysis
Lille
60.92%
Draw
21.16%
Metz
17.92%
Lille
1-0
@
10.16%
▼
(-0.28)
2-0 @ 10.14% ▼ (-0.28)
2-1 @ 9.96% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6.75% ▼ (-0.19)
3-1 @ 6.62% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 3.37% ▼ (-0.10)
4-1 @ 3.31% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.25% ▲ (+0.10)
4-2 @ 1.62% ▲ (+0.05)
5-0 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.04)
5-1 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 60.92%
2-0 @ 10.14% ▼ (-0.28)
2-1 @ 9.96% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6.75% ▼ (-0.19)
3-1 @ 6.62% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 3.37% ▼ (-0.10)
4-1 @ 3.31% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.25% ▲ (+0.10)
4-2 @ 1.62% ▲ (+0.05)
5-0 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.04)
5-1 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 60.92%
Draw
1-1
@
9.98%
▲
(+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.09% ▼ (-0.15)
2-2 @ 4.89% ▲ (+0.15)
3-3 @ 1.06% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 21.16%
0-0 @ 5.09% ▼ (-0.15)
2-2 @ 4.89% ▲ (+0.15)
3-3 @ 1.06% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 21.16%
Metz
0-1
@
5%
▲
(+0.01)
1-2 @ 4.9% ▲ (+0.15)
0-2 @ 2.45% ▲ (+0.07)
1-3 @ 1.6% ▲ (+0.10)
2-3 @ 1.6% ▲ (+0.10)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 17.92%
1-2 @ 4.9% ▲ (+0.15)
0-2 @ 2.45% ▲ (+0.07)
1-3 @ 1.6% ▲ (+0.10)
2-3 @ 1.6% ▲ (+0.10)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 17.92%
