MX23RW : Tuesday, March 5 11:41:07| >> :300:86500:86500:
Brest logo
Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lorient logo
Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Lille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 14
Dec 3, 2023 at 4.05pm UK
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Metz logo
Lille
2 - 0
Metz
Yazici (45+2'), David (45+6' pen.)
FT(HT: 2-0)
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Metz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ljubljana 0-2 Lille
Thursday, November 30 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Lorient 2-3 Metz
Sunday, November 26 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lille 2-1 Metz

A closely-fought contest between two in-form teams could be on the cards on Sunday, but considering that Lille are set to recall a few first-team regulars who were rested in midweek, we expect Fonceca's men to have few issues coming away with all three points on home soil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 60.92%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Metz had a probability of 17.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.98%), while for a Metz win it was 0-1 (5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.

Result
LilleDrawMetz
60.92% (-0.657 -0.66) 21.16% (0.074999999999999 0.07) 17.92% (0.579 0.58)
Both teams to score 54.04% (0.913 0.91)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.18% (0.637 0.64)42.82% (-0.64 -0.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.78% (0.63 0.63)65.22% (-0.63199999999999 -0.63)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.41% (0.007000000000005 0.01)13.59% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.29% (0.012999999999998 0.01)40.7% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Metz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.53% (1.05 1.05)37.46% (-1.052 -1.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.75% (1.017 1.02)74.24% (-1.02 -1.02)
Score Analysis
    Lille 60.92%
    Metz 17.92%
    Draw 21.16%
LilleDrawMetz
1-0 @ 10.16% (-0.28 -0.28)
2-0 @ 10.14% (-0.28 -0.28)
2-1 @ 9.96% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.75% (-0.188 -0.19)
3-1 @ 6.62% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.37% (-0.093 -0.09)
4-1 @ 3.31% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 3.25% (0.096 0.1)
4-2 @ 1.62% (0.048 0.05)
5-0 @ 1.34% (-0.037 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.32% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 60.92%
1-1 @ 9.98% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.09% (-0.146 -0.15)
2-2 @ 4.89% (0.142 0.14)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 21.16%
0-1 @ 5% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-2 @ 4.9% (0.141 0.14)
0-2 @ 2.45% (0.07 0.07)
1-3 @ 1.6% (0.09 0.09)
2-3 @ 1.6% (0.09 0.09)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 17.92%

How you voted: Lille vs Metz

Lille
84.0%
Draw
16.0%
Metz
0.0%
25
Head to Head
Feb 18, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 25
Lille
0-0
Metz
Zhegrova (83'), Fonte (87'), Djalo (90+7')
Zhegrova (90+1'), Gourvennec (90+5')
Maiga (22'), Kouyate (67'), Caillard (79'), Amadou (90+7')
Aug 8, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 1
Metz
3-3
Lille
Centonze (31', 52'), Udol (41')
Bronn (56')
Kouyate (56')
Botman (23'), Ikone (81'), Yilmaz (90+6')
Ikone (79'), Yilmaz (83')
Apr 9, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 32
Metz
0-2
Lille

Kouyate (65'), Sarr (76')
Yilmaz (60'), Celik (89')
Fonte (16'), Yilmaz (45+2')
Sep 13, 2020 12pm
Gameweek 3
Lille
1-0
Metz
Araujo (88')
Pied (31'), Bradaric (57'), Andre (80'), C. (80'), Celik (84')

Maiga (20'), Bronn (36'), Pajot (43'), Centonze (75')
Apr 11, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 32
Metz
P-P
Lille
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG24167154193555
2Brest24137435181746
3MonacoMonaco24126644341042
4Lille24118534201441
5Nice2411762317640
6Lens2411673324939
7Marseille2499638261236
8Rennes249873629735
9Reims24104103032-234
10Toulouse247892732-529
11Lyon2484122538-1328
12StrasbourgStrasbourg2468102537-1226
13Lorient2467113345-1225
14NantesNantes2474132336-1325
15Le HavreLe Havre2459102431-724
16Montpellier HSCMontpellier2459102733-623
17Metz2455142137-1620
18Clermont2438131741-2417

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