UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Group Stage

Nov 30, 2023 at 5.45pm UK

Stadion Stozice

Ljubljana
0 - 2
Lille

Brest (41'), Pedro (60'), Bristric (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Cabella (15'), Yazici (75')
Santos (38'), Umtiti (41'), Arnar Haraldsson (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between NK Olimpija Ljubljana and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

NK Olimpija Ljubljana

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Radomlje 0-2 Ljubljana
Saturday, November 25 at 4.30pm in Slovenian PrvaLiga

Goals
for

Lille

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Lyon 0-2 Lille
Sunday, November 26 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 48.1%. A win for NK Olimpija Ljubljana had a probability of 27.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.45%) and 0-2 (8.13%). The likeliest NK Olimpija Ljubljana win was 1-0 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Lille in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lille.

Result
NK Olimpija Ljubljana	Draw	Lille
27.31% ( -0.04)	24.59% ( 0.03)	48.1% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 55.2% (

-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.75% (

-0.15)

47.25% (

0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.52% (

-0.14)

69.47% (

0.14)

NK Olimpija Ljubljana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.74% (

-0.11)

31.26% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.39% (

-0.13)

67.61% (

0.12)

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.3% (

-0.06)

19.7% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.29% (

-0.09)

51.7% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

NK Olimpija Ljubljana 27.31%

Lille 48.1%

Draw 24.58%

NK Olimpija Ljubljana	Draw	Lille
1-0 @ 7.16% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.76% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.16% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.62% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.61% ( -0) Other @ 2.85% Total : 27.31%	1-1 @ 11.63% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.16% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.58%	0-1 @ 10% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 9.45% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.13% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 5.12% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.4% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.08% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.79% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.96% Total : 48.1%