Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 39.88%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 33.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Clermont win was 0-1 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brest would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brest | Draw | Clermont |
| 39.88% ( | 26.81% ( | 33.31% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.14% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.08% ( | 53.92% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.63% ( | 75.37% ( |
| Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.5% ( | 26.49% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.31% ( | 61.68% ( |
| Clermont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.57% ( | 30.43% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.37% ( | 66.63% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Brest | Draw | Clermont |
| 1-0 @ 10.7% ( 2-1 @ 8.46% ( 2-0 @ 7.11% ( 3-1 @ 3.75% ( 3-0 @ 3.15% ( 3-2 @ 2.23% ( 4-1 @ 1.24% ( 4-0 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 2.19% Total : 39.87% | 1-1 @ 12.74% ( 0-0 @ 8.06% ( 2-2 @ 5.03% ( Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.81% | 0-1 @ 9.59% ( 1-2 @ 7.58% ( 0-2 @ 5.71% ( 1-3 @ 3.01% ( 0-3 @ 2.26% ( 2-3 @ 2% ( Other @ 3.16% Total : 33.31% |