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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 14
Dec 3, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade Francis-Le Ble
Clermont Foot

Brest
3 - 0
Clermont

Del Castillo (20' pen., 51'), Pereira Lage (34')
Locko (44')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Oumar Konate (19'), Zeffane (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Clermont, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Montpellier 1-3 Brest
Sunday, November 26 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 1-1 Clermont
Wednesday, November 29 at 6pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 39.88%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 33.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Clermont win was 0-1 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brest would win this match.

Result
BrestDrawClermont
39.88% (-0.33000000000001 -0.33)26.81% (0.669 0.67)33.31% (-0.337 -0.34)
Both teams to score 51.14% (-2.217 -2.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.08% (-2.798 -2.8)53.92% (2.798 2.8)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.63% (-2.4 -2.4)75.37% (2.4 2.4)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.5% (-1.458 -1.46)26.49% (1.458 1.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.31% (-1.977 -1.98)61.68% (1.978 1.98)
Clermont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.57% (-1.604 -1.6)30.43% (1.605 1.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.37% (-1.95 -1.95)66.63% (1.952 1.95)
Score Analysis
    Brest 39.87%
    Clermont 33.31%
    Draw 26.81%
BrestDrawClermont
1-0 @ 10.7% (0.707 0.71)
2-1 @ 8.46% (-0.147 -0.15)
2-0 @ 7.11% (0.192 0.19)
3-1 @ 3.75% (-0.228 -0.23)
3-0 @ 3.15% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.23% (-0.243 -0.24)
4-1 @ 1.24% (-0.132 -0.13)
4-0 @ 1.05% (-0.061 -0.06)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 39.87%
1-1 @ 12.74% (0.31 0.31)
0-0 @ 8.06% (0.845 0.85)
2-2 @ 5.03% (-0.32 -0.32)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 26.81%
0-1 @ 9.59% (0.615 0.62)
1-2 @ 7.58% (-0.153 -0.15)
0-2 @ 5.71% (0.123 0.12)
1-3 @ 3.01% (-0.201 -0.2)
0-3 @ 2.26% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2% (-0.224 -0.22)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 33.31%

How you voted: Brest vs Clermont

Brest
90.0%
Draw
0.0%
Clermont
10.0%
20
Head to Head
May 21, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 36
Brest
2-1
Clermont
Honorat (45'), Mounie (48')
Brassier (90+2'), Camara (90+1'), Mounie (90+5')
Borges (43')
Seidu (57'), Gastien (90+1'), Wieteska (90+5'), Caufriez (90+2')
Oct 23, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 12
Clermont
1-3
Brest
Allevinah (88')
Del Castillo (14' pen.), Honorat (53'), Le Douaron (67')
May 1, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 35
Brest
2-0
Clermont
Brassier (60'), Mounie (62')
Belaili (30'), Said (90+1')
Del Castillo (22')

Ogier (28'), N'Simba (45+1')
Sep 19, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 6
Clermont
1-1
Brest
Rashani (65')
Rashani (19')
Gastien (50')
Chardonnet (52')
Agoume (32')
Mar 29, 2019 7pm
Gameweek 30
Brest
0-0
Clermont
Bernard (23'), Weber (74')
Soares (52'), Gastien (80')