Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 48.74%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 27.28% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 1-2 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Lens in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Lens.