Champions League
Dec 12, 2023 5.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Bollaert-Delelis
  • Neil El Aynaoui 37' yellowcard
  • Przemyslaw Frankowski 63' goal
  • Facundo Medina 75' yellowcard
  • Angelo Fulgini 85' yellowcard
  • Angelo Fulgini 90'+6' goal
  • Kevin Danso 90'+9' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Boubakary Soumare 61'
  • yellowcard Kike Salas 65'
  • goal Sergio Ramos 79'
  • yellowcard Sergio Ramos 80'
  • yellowcard Rafa Mir 90'+9'

Lens vs Sevilla - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Lens

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Nov 29, 2023 8.00pm
Arsenal 6 - 0 Lens

Sevilla

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Nov 29, 2023 5.45pm
Sevilla 2 - 3 PSV

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 48.74%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 27.28% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 1-2 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Lens in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Lens.

Result

Lens 48.74% (+0.02)
Draw 23.98% (-0.01)
Sevilla 27.28% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.2% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.41% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 44.59% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 33.04% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 66.96% (-0.03)
Over 4.5 16.82% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 83.17% (-0.02)

Lens Goals

Over 0.5 81.59% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 18.4% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 50.44% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 49.55% (-0.03)

Sevilla Goals

Over 0.5 70.11% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 29.89% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 34.01% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 65.99% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Lens 48.74%
Draw 23.97%
Sevilla 27.28%
Lens
2-1 @ 9.52% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 9.31% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.88% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.37% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.45% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.24% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.27% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.88% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.37% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 48.74%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.24%
2-2 @ 5.75% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.5% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.31% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.97%
Sevilla
1-2 @ 6.79% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 6.64% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.01% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.73%
2-3 @ 2.31% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.62%
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 27.28%

Head to Head

Champions League
Sep 20, 2023 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan
  • Lucas Ocampos 9' goal
  • Nemanja Gudelj 37' yellowcard
  • Sergio Ramos 70' yellowcard
  • Lucas Ocampos 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Facundo Medina 14'
  • yellowcard Florian Sotoca 17'
  • yellowcard Brice Samba 18'
  • goal Angelo Fulgini 24'
  • yellowcard Angelo Fulgini 30'
  • yellowcard Massadio Haidara 90'