Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 38.23%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 36.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.06%) and 0-2 (5.9%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 2-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.