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La Liga | Gameweek 15
Dec 3, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan
Villarreal logo
Sevilla
1 - 1
Villarreal
Salas (75')
Sow (45+3'), Sanchez (52'), Rakitic (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Luis Morales (77')
Pedraza (45'), Marcelino (46'), Altimira (54'), Reina (90+8')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Sevilla and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sevilla 2-3 PSV
Wednesday, November 29 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Villarreal 3-2 Panathinaikos
Thursday, November 30 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Sevilla 1-1 Villarreal

This is a really difficult match to call, especially as both sides will enter it off the back of European assignments. Neither team have particularly impressed in the league this season, and with both missing some important players, we can see the points being shared in a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 38.23%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 36.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.06%) and 0-2 (5.9%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 2-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
SevillaDrawVillarreal
36.99% (2.1 2.1) 24.78% (0.386 0.39) 38.23% (-2.486 -2.49)
Both teams to score 58.55% (-1.126 -1.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.37% (-1.575 -1.58)44.63% (1.575 1.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33% (-1.539 -1.54)67% (1.539 1.54)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.2% (0.425 0.42)23.8% (-0.426 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.03% (0.605 0.61)57.97% (-0.60599999999999 -0.61)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.85% (-1.917 -1.92)23.15% (1.918 1.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.97% (-2.888 -2.89)57.03% (2.887 2.89)
Score Analysis
    Sevilla 36.99%
    Villarreal 38.23%
    Draw 24.78%
SevillaDrawVillarreal
2-1 @ 8.31% (0.295 0.3)
1-0 @ 7.91% (0.617 0.62)
2-0 @ 5.68% (0.507 0.51)
3-1 @ 3.97% (0.188 0.19)
3-2 @ 2.91% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.72% (0.273 0.27)
4-1 @ 1.43% (0.084 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 0.98% (0.109 0.11)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 36.99%
1-1 @ 11.57% (0.27 0.27)
2-2 @ 6.08% (-0.131 -0.13)
0-0 @ 5.51% (0.366 0.37)
3-3 @ 1.42% (-0.097 -0.1)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.78%
1-2 @ 8.47% (-0.29 -0.29)
0-1 @ 8.06% (0.091 0.09)
0-2 @ 5.9% (-0.278 -0.28)
1-3 @ 4.13% (-0.393 -0.39)
2-3 @ 2.96% (-0.243 -0.24)
0-3 @ 2.88% (-0.314 -0.31)
1-4 @ 1.51% (-0.242 -0.24)
2-4 @ 1.08% (-0.158 -0.16)
0-4 @ 1.05% (-0.184 -0.18)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 38.23%

How you voted: Sevilla vs Villarreal

Sevilla
23.3%
Draw
30.2%
Villarreal
46.5%
43
Head to Head
Apr 23, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 30
Sevilla
2-1
Villarreal
Mir (34'), En-Nesyri (90+4')
Torres (55')
Sep 18, 2022 3.15pm
May 8, 2022 3.15pm
Gameweek 35
Villarreal
1-1
Sevilla
Lo Celso (86')
Chukwueze (4'), Lo Celso (45'), Capoue (73')
Kounde (90+5')
Dec 4, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 16
Sevilla
1-0
Villarreal
Ocampos (16')
Rakitic (45+3'), Mir (57')

Albiol (61'), Dia (90+2')
May 16, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 37
Villarreal
4-0
Sevilla
Bacca (34', 47', 79'), Moreno (66')

Carlos (29'), Acuna (51')
Carlos (52')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid25195153163762
2Barcelona26176356342257
3GironaGirona25175354322256
4Atletico MadridAtletico26164652282452
5Athletic Bilbao25147445232249
6Real Sociedad26101063526940
7Real BetisBetis2591242825339
8Valencia2510692929036
9Las PalmasLas Palmas25105102525035
10Getafe2681083338-534
11Osasuna2595112936-732
12AlavesAlaves2678112532-729
13Villarreal2678113848-1029
14Rayo Vallecano25510102233-1125
15Sevilla2559113037-724
16Mallorca26412102334-1124
17Celta Vigo2548132737-1020
18CadizCadiz25211121535-2017
19Granada2528152749-2214
20Almeria2609172554-299

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