Europa League
Nov 30, 2023 8.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio de la Ceramica
  • Alex Baena 29' goal
  • Santi Comesana 34' goal
  • Jose Luis Morales 47' goal
  • Ilias Akhomach 71' yellowcard
  • Marcelino 72' yellowcard
  • Santi Comesana 89' yellowcard
  • goal Sebastian Palacios 66'
  • goal Fotis Ioannidis 81'
  • yellowcard Ruben Perez 90'+8'

Villarreal vs Panathinaikos - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Villarreal

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Nov 9, 2023 5.45pm
M. Haifa 1 - 2 Villarreal

Panathinaikos

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Nov 9, 2023 5.45pm
Rennes 3 - 1 Panathinaikos

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 38.34%. A win for Panathinaikos had a probability of 37.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.8%) and 2-0 (5.8%). The likeliest Panathinaikos win was 1-2 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.

Result

Villarreal 38.34% (+0.03)
Draw 24.54% (-0.01)
Panathinaikos 37.12% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.46% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.53% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 43.47% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 34.13%
Under 3.5 65.87%
Over 4.5 17.62% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 82.38%

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5 77.42% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 22.58% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 43.82% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 56.18% (-0.02)

Panathinaikos Goals

Over 0.5 76.79% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 23.21% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 42.89% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 57.11% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Villarreal 38.34%
Draw 24.54%
Panathinaikos 37.12%
Villarreal
2-1 @ 8.48% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 7.8% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.8% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.21% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.07% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.88% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.56% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.14% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.07% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 38.34%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.39%
2-2 @ 6.19% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.24%
3-3 @ 1.5%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.54%
Panathinaikos
1-2 @ 8.32% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 7.65% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.59% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.05% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.01% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.72% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.48% (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.1%
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 37.12%

Head to Head

Europa League
Sep 21, 2023 5.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Apostolos Nikolaidis
  • Fotis Ioannidis 38' goal
  • Andraz Sporar 78' goal
  • Aitor Cantalapiedra 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kiko Femenia 64'
  • yellowcard Alexander Sorloth 74'
  • yellowcard Alex Baena 84'
  • yellowcard Alfonso Pedraza 87'