Greek Superleague | Gameweek 12

Nov 26, 2023 at 6.30pm UK

Stadio Harilaou Kleanthis Vikelidis

Aris
2 - 0
Panathinaikos

Moron (43'), Menendez (72')
Panagidis (61'), Brabec (65'), Menendez (85')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Arao (77')

Coverage of the Greek Superleague clash between Aris Thessaloniki and Panathinaikos.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aris Thessaloniki

All competitions

Last Game: Volos 0-2 Aris
Saturday, November 11 at 6pm in Greek Superleague

Goals
for

Top scorers

Panathinaikos

All competitions

Greek Superleague

Last Game: Kifisia 0-1 Panathinaikos
Sunday, November 12 at 7.30pm in Greek Superleague

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aris Thessaloniki win with a probability of 39.56%. A win for Panathinaikos had a probability of 33.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aris Thessaloniki win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Panathinaikos win was 0-1 (10.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aris Thessaloniki would win this match.

Result
Aris Thessaloniki	Draw	Panathinaikos
39.56% ( 0.14)	27.41% ( 0.03)	33.03% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 49.23% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.69% (

-0.13)

56.31% (

0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.66% (

-0.1)

77.34% (

0.1)

Aris Thessaloniki Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.21% (

0.02)

27.79% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.62% (

0.02)

63.38% (

-0.02)

Panathinaikos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.17% (

-0.17)

31.83% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.74% (

-0.2)

68.27% (

0.2)

Score Analysis

Aris Thessaloniki 39.56%

Panathinaikos 33.02%

Draw 27.41%

Aris Thessaloniki	Draw	Panathinaikos
1-0 @ 11.32% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.3% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.25% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.54% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.1% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.13% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.89% Total : 39.56%	1-1 @ 12.96% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.85% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.41%	0-1 @ 10.12% 1-2 @ 7.42% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.8% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.82% Total : 33.02%