Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panathinaikos win with a probability of 50.95%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 21.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panathinaikos win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.8%) and 2-1 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for an Aris Thessaloniki win it was 0-1 (8.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Panathinaikos in this match.