Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panathinaikos win with a probability of 64.75%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Panserraikos had a probability of 13.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panathinaikos win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.32%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.12%), while for a Panserraikos win it was 0-1 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Panathinaikos would win this match.