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Ligue 1

Lens logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 16
Dec 16, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Reims

Lens
2 - 0
Reims

Said (43'), Cortes (75')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Matusiwa (21')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Reims, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lens

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 2-1 Sevilla
Tuesday, December 12 at 5.45pm in Champions League

Reims

All competitions
Last Game: Nice 2-1 Reims
Sunday, December 10 at 12pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 49.94%. A win for Reims had a probability of 25.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest Reims win was 0-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.

Result
LensDrawReims
49.94% (-0.447 -0.45)24.6% (0.158 0.16)25.45% (0.283 0.28)
Both teams to score 53.51% (-0.23099999999999 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.29% (-0.441 -0.44)48.71% (0.435 0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.18% (-0.401 -0.4)70.82% (0.395 0.39)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.47% (-0.354 -0.35)19.53% (0.347 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.57% (-0.579 -0.58)51.42% (0.571 0.57)
Reims Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.49%33.51% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.85% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)70.15% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Lens 49.93%
    Reims 25.45%
    Draw 24.6%
LensDrawReims
1-0 @ 10.68% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.54% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-0 @ 8.73% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.2% (-0.078 -0.08)
3-0 @ 4.75% (-0.072 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.84% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.12% (-0.055 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.94% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.16% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 49.93%
1-1 @ 11.68% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 6.54% (0.116 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.22% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.6%
0-1 @ 7.15% (0.127 0.13)
1-2 @ 6.39% (0.045 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.91% (0.07 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.33% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.43% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 25.45%

How you voted: Lens vs Reims

Lens
66.7%
Draw
21.2%
Reims
12.1%
33
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