Ligue 1 Gameweek 18
Jan 14, 2024 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stade Bollaert-Delelis
  • Jonathan Gradit 45'+3' redcard
  • goal Bradley Barcola 30'
  • yellowcard Carlos Soler 52'
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 89'

Lens vs Paris Saint-Germain - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Lens

All competitions
Last game
Dec 20, 2023 8.00pm
Nice 2 - 0 Lens
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Elye Wahi

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Last game
Dec 20, 2023 8.00pm
PSG 3 - 1 Metz
Goals scored
81
Top scorer
Kylian Mbappe

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 48.2%. A win for Lens had a probability of 29.18% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.16%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Lens win was 2-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result

Lens 29.18% (-0.51)
Draw 22.62% (+0.14)
Paris Saint-Germain 48.2% (+0.38)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.53% (-0.84)

Goals

Over 2.5 63.09% (-0.96)
Under 2.5 36.91% (+0.96)
Over 3.5 40.91% (-1.04)
Under 3.5 59.09% (+1.05)
Over 4.5 22.88% (-0.85)
Under 4.5 77.12% (+0.86)

Lens Goals

Over 0.5 75.35% (-0.79)
Under 0.5 24.65% (+0.80)
Over 1.5 40.83% (-1.13)
Under 1.5 59.17% (+1.13)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5 84.31% (-0.22)
Under 0.5 15.69% (+0.23)
Over 1.5 55.25% (-0.42)
Under 1.5 44.75% (+0.42)

Score analysis

Lens 29.18%
Draw 22.62%
Paris Saint-Germain 48.2%
Lens
2-1 @ 7.02% (-0.05)
1-0 @ 5.42% (+0.13)
2-0 @ 3.79% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.28% (-0.10)
3-2 @ 3.04% (-0.12)
3-0 @ 1.77% (-0.05)
4-1 @ 1.15% (-0.07)
4-2 @ 1.06% (-0.07)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 29.18%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.03% (+0.17)
2-2 @ 6.51% (-0.10)
0-0 @ 3.87% (+0.18)
3-3 @ 1.87% (-0.09)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 22.62%
Paris Saint-Germain
1-2 @ 9.29% (+0.08)
0-1 @ 7.16% (+0.28)
0-2 @ 6.63% (+0.21)
1-3 @ 5.74% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 4.1% (+0.10)
2-3 @ 4.02% (-0.09)
1-4 @ 2.66% (-0.02)
0-4 @ 1.9% (+0.03)
2-4 @ 1.86% (-0.06)
Other @ 4.86%
Total : 48.2%

Head to Head

Ligue 1 Gameweek 3
Aug 26, 2023 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Parc des Princes
  • Marco Asensio 44' goal
  • Kylian Mbappe 52' goal
  • Kylian Mbappe 90' goal
  • yellowcard Facundo Medina 19'
  • yellowcard Franck Haise 31'
  • yellowcard Florian Sotoca 42'
  • yellowcard Stijn Spierings 79'
  • yellowcard Deiver Machado 82'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Gradit 87'
  • goal Morgan Guilavogui 90'+5'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 31
Apr 15, 2023 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Kylian Mbappe 31' goal
  • Vitinha 37' goal
  • Lionel Messi 40' goal
  • goal Przemyslaw Frankowski 60'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 17
Jan 1, 2023 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Przemyslaw Frankowski 5' goal
  • Lois Openda 28' goal
  • Alexis Claude-Maurice 47' goal
  • goal Hugo Ekitike 8'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 34
Apr 23, 2022 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Sergio Ramos 54' yellowcard
  • Lionel Messi 68' goal
  • Marco Verratti 73' yellowcard
  • Marquinhos 78' yellowcard
  • Neymar 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kevin Danso 9'
  • redcard Kevin Danso 57'
  • goal Corentin Jean 88'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 17
Dec 4, 2021 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Facundo Medina 47' yellowcard
  • Seko Fofana 62' goal
  • Jonathan Gradit 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marco Verratti 63'
  • yellowcard Achraf Hakimi 90'
  • goal Georginio Wijnaldum 90'+1'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 35
May 1, 2021 4.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Neymar 33' goal
  • Marquinhos 59' goal
  • Ignatius Ganago 61' goal
  • Facundo Medina 66' yellowcard
  • Florian Sotoca 76' yellowcard
  • Ander Herrera 78' yellowcard
  • Thilo Kehrer 89' yellowcard
  • Marquinhos 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Marco Verratti 90'+4' yellowcard