Ligue 1 Gameweek 17
Dec 20, 2023 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT Parc des Princes
  • Vitinha 49' goal
  • Kylian Mbappe 60' goal
  • Kylian Mbappe 83' goal
  • yellowcard Christophe Herelle 32'
  • goal Matthieu Udol 72'

Paris Saint-Germain vs Metz - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Last game
Dec 17, 2023 7.45pm
Lille 1 - 1 PSG
Goals scored
81
Top scorer
Kylian Mbappe

Metz

All competitions
Last game
Dec 17, 2023 2.00pm
Metz 0 - 1 Montpellier
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Georges Mikautadze

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 74.47%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Metz had a probability of 10.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 3-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.05%), while for a Metz win it was 1-2 (3.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result

Paris Saint-Germain 74.47% (-0.55)
Draw 15.29% (+0.56)
Metz 10.23% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.68% (-2.48)

Goals

Over 2.5 67.26% (-2.97)
Under 2.5 32.73% (+2.97)
Over 3.5 45.58% (-3.51)
Under 3.5 54.41% (+3.51)
Over 4.5 26.8% (-3.11)
Under 4.5 73.2% (+3.11)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5 92.55% (-0.79)
Under 0.5 7.45% (+0.79)
Over 1.5 73.21% (-2.07)
Under 1.5 26.79% (+2.07)

Metz Goals

Over 0.5 58% (-2.17)
Under 0.5 41.99% (+2.17)
Over 1.5 21.57% (-1.94)
Under 1.5 78.42% (+1.94)

Score analysis

Paris Saint-Germain 74.47%
Draw 15.29%
Metz 10.23%
Paris Saint-Germain
2-0 @ 10.54% (+0.81)
2-1 @ 9.15% (+0.19)
3-0 @ 9.13% (+0.35)
1-0 @ 8.12% (+0.94)
3-1 @ 7.93% (-0.17)
4-0 @ 5.93% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 5.15% (-0.34)
3-2 @ 3.44% (-0.29)
5-0 @ 3.08% (-0.15)
5-1 @ 2.67% (-0.30)
4-2 @ 2.23% (-0.29)
6-0 @ 1.33% (-0.12)
5-2 @ 1.16% (-0.21)
6-1 @ 1.16% (-0.19)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 74.47%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.05% (+0.43)
2-2 @ 3.97% (-0.16)
0-0 @ 3.13% (+0.48)
Other @ 1.15%
Total : 15.29%
Metz
1-2 @ 3.06% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 2.71% (+0.27)
0-2 @ 1.18% (+0.06)
2-3 @ 1.15% (-0.12)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 10.23%

Head to Head

Ligue 1 Gameweek 38
May 21, 2022 8.00pm
5
0
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Kylian Mbappe 25' goal
  • Kylian Mbappe 28' goal
  • Neymar 31' goal
  • Kylian Mbappe 50' goal
  • Angel di Maria 67' goal
  • Neymar 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Boubacar Traore 23'
  • redcard Boubacar Traore 58'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 7
Sep 22, 2021 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Papa Ndiaga Yade 19' yellowcard
  • Boubakar Kouyate 39' goal
  • Habib Maiga 68' yellowcard
  • Dylan Bronn 73' yellowcard
  • Fabien Centonze 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Dylan Bronn 90'+1' redcard
  • Frederic Antonetti 90'+2' redcard
  • Alexandre Oukidja 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Achraf Hakimi 5'
  • yellowcard Nuno Mendes 69'
  • goal Achraf Hakimi 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Neymar 90'+6'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 34
Apr 24, 2021 4.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 4'
  • yellowcard Victorien Angban 15'
  • yellowcard Marco Verratti 37'
  • goal Fabien Centonze 46'
  • yellowcard Kylian Mbappe 58'
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 59'
  • yellowcard Layvin Kurzawa 60'
  • yellowcard Ander Herrera 79'
  • goal Mauro Icardi 89'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 1
Sep 16, 2020 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Parc des Princes
  • Abdou Diallo 1' yellowcard
  • Julian Draxler 56' yellowcard
  • Abdou Diallo 65' redcard
  • Julian Draxler 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Habib Maiga 46'
  • yellowcard Fabien Centonze 61'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 31
Apr 4, 2020 11.00pm
Parc des Princes
Ligue 1 Gameweek 4
Aug 30, 2019 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Stade Saint-Symphorien (Longeville-lès-Metz)
  • Mamadou Fofana 27' yellowcard
  • goal Angel di Maria 11'
  • goal Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting 43'