Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 16

Dec 17, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stade Pierre-Mauroy

Lille
1 - 1
PSG

David (90+4')
Diakite (66')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Mbappe (66' pen.)
Ugarte (18')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Paris Saint-Germain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lille

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Lille 3-0 KI
Thursday, December 14 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Dortmund 1-1 PSG
Wednesday, December 13 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 41.41%. A win for Paris Saint-Germain had a probability of 34.68% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.48%) and 2-0 (6.03%). The likeliest Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.

Result
Lille	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
41.41% ( 2.64)	23.91% ( 0.4)	34.68% ( -3.04)

Both teams to score 61.42% (

-1.94)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.23% (

-2.34)

40.76% (

2.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.85% (

-2.44)

63.15% (

2.44)

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.06% (

0.21)

19.94% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.91% (

0.33)

52.09% (

-0.34)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.72% (

-2.63)

23.28% (

2.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.79% (

-3.98)

57.21% (

3.98)

Score Analysis

Lille 41.41%

Paris Saint-Germain 34.68%

Draw 23.9%

Lille	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 8.8% ( 0.37) 1-0 @ 7.48% ( 0.82) 2-0 @ 6.03% ( 0.69) 3-1 @ 4.73% ( 0.23) 3-2 @ 3.45% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 3.24% ( 0.39) 4-1 @ 1.91% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.17) Other @ 3.08% Total : 41.41%	1-1 @ 10.9% ( 0.39) 2-2 @ 6.41% ( -0.23) 0-0 @ 4.64% ( 0.48) 3-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.19) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.9%	1-2 @ 7.95% ( -0.34) 0-1 @ 6.77% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.25) 1-3 @ 3.86% ( -0.5) 2-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.38) 0-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.33) 1-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.31) 2-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.24) Other @ 3.12% Total : 34.68%