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Lille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 16
Dec 17, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
PSG logo

Lille
1 - 1
PSG

David (90+4')
Diakite (66')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mbappe (66' pen.)
Ugarte (18')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Paris Saint-Germain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lille 3-0 KI
Thursday, December 14 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Dortmund 1-1 PSG
Wednesday, December 13 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Lille 1-2 Paris Saint-Germain

As solid as Lille have been defensively this season, it has been a while since they have gone up against an attack with as much quality as PSG, and we believe there will be too many weapons for Les Dogues' backline to contend with on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 41.41%. A win for Paris Saint-Germain had a probability of 34.68% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.48%) and 2-0 (6.03%). The likeliest Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.

Result
LilleDrawParis Saint-Germain
41.41% (2.636 2.64) 23.91% (0.396 0.4) 34.68% (-3.036 -3.04)
Both teams to score 61.42% (-1.937 -1.94)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.23% (-2.344 -2.34)40.76% (2.341 2.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.85% (-2.441 -2.44)63.15% (2.436 2.44)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.06% (0.206 0.21)19.94% (-0.212 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.91% (0.334 0.33)52.09% (-0.338 -0.34)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.72% (-2.628 -2.63)23.28% (2.623 2.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.79% (-3.984 -3.98)57.21% (3.98 3.98)
Score Analysis
    Lille 41.41%
    Paris Saint-Germain 34.68%
    Draw 23.9%
LilleDrawParis Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 8.8% (0.373 0.37)
1-0 @ 7.48% (0.817 0.82)
2-0 @ 6.03% (0.694 0.69)
3-1 @ 4.73% (0.23 0.23)
3-2 @ 3.45% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-0 @ 3.24% (0.391 0.39)
4-1 @ 1.91% (0.104 0.1)
4-2 @ 1.39% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.31% (0.166 0.17)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 41.41%
1-1 @ 10.9% (0.39 0.39)
2-2 @ 6.41% (-0.232 -0.23)
0-0 @ 4.64% (0.48 0.48)
3-3 @ 1.67% (-0.191 -0.19)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.9%
1-2 @ 7.95% (-0.342 -0.34)
0-1 @ 6.77% (0.202 0.2)
0-2 @ 4.93% (-0.246 -0.25)
1-3 @ 3.86% (-0.497 -0.5)
2-3 @ 3.12% (-0.378 -0.38)
0-3 @ 2.4% (-0.326 -0.33)
1-4 @ 1.41% (-0.311 -0.31)
2-4 @ 1.14% (-0.242 -0.24)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 34.68%

How you voted: Lille vs PSG

Lille
14.1%
Draw
14.1%
Paris Saint-Germain
71.8%
71
Head to Head
Feb 19, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 24
PSG
4-3
Lille
Mbappe (11', 87'), Neymar (17'), Messi (90+5')
Diakite (24'), David (58' pen.), Bamba (69')
Aug 21, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Lille
1-7
PSG
Bamba (54')
Andre (39'), David (83')
Mbappe (1', 66', 87'), Messi (27'), Hakimi (39'), Neymar (43', 52')
Ramos (34')
Feb 6, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 23
Lille
1-5
PSG
Botman (28')
Celik (75'), Bradaric (83')
Pereira (10', 51'), Kimpembe (32'), Messi (38'), Mbappe (67')
Paredes (45+1')
Oct 29, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 12
PSG
2-1
Lille
Marquinhos (74'), Di Maria (88')
Neymar (86')
David (31')
Mandava (5'), Yilmaz (36'), Sanches (57'), Celik (63'), Grbic (85')
Aug 1, 2021 7pm
Final
Lille
1-0
PSG
Xeka (45')
Araujo (78'), Jardim (90+2')

Kehrer (30'), Diallo (52'), Draxler (84'), Pereira (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG312010176294770
2MonacoMonaco31177758411758
3Brest31168749331656
4Lille311510645271855
5Nice31149836251151
6Lens31137114034646
7Marseille31111194738944
8Lyon31135134251-944
9Rennes31119114841742
10Toulouse311010113840-240
11Reims31117133845-740
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier31911113943-437
13StrasbourgStrasbourg3199133444-1036
14NantesNantes3195172949-2032
15Le HavreLe Havre31611143041-1129
16Metz3185183251-1929
17Lorient3168173761-2426
18Clermont31510162550-2525


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