Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 71.81%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Toulouse had a probability of 11.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 3-0 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.48%), while for a Toulouse win it was 1-2 (3.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Paris Saint-Germain in this match.