Ligue 1
Gameweek
17
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Ftoulog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmonlog_1.png)
-
Frank Magri
5'
-
Logan Costa
45'+3'
-
Aron Donnum
52'
-
Mohammed Salisu
3'
-
Adi Hutter
4'
-
Wissam Ben Yedder
26'
-
Wissam Ben Yedder
44'
-
Aleksandr Golovin
51'
-
Edan Diop
57'
-
Soungoutou Magassa
66'
Toulouse vs Monaco - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F51%2FGabriel%20Suazo.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 39.32%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 36.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.96%) and 0-2 (6%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 2-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Monaco in this match.
Result
Toulouse
36.11%
▲
(+0.04)
Draw
24.56%
▼
(-0.01)
Monaco
39.32%
▼
(-0.04)
Both Teams to Score:
59.27%
▲
(+0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5
56.32%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 2.5
43.67%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 3.5
33.93%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 3.5
66.06%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 4.5
17.48%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 4.5
82.52%
▼
(-0.01)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5
76.16%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 0.5
23.84%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 1.5
41.98%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 1.5
58.02%
▼
(-0.04)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5
77.82%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 0.5
22.17%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 1.5
44.42%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 1.5
55.57%
▲
(+0.03)
Score analysis
Toulouse
36.11%
Draw
24.56%
Monaco
39.32%
Toulouse
2-1
@
8.19%
▲
(+0.01)
1-0 @ 7.58% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.43% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.91% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.95% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.6% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.4% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.06% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3%
Total : 36.11%
1-0 @ 7.58% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.43% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.91% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.95% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.6% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.4% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.06% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3%
Total : 36.11%
Draw
1-1
@
11.41%
2-2 @ 6.16% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.29% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.48%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.56%
2-2 @ 6.16% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.29% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.48%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.56%
Monaco
1-2
@
8.6%
▼
(-0.01)
0-1 @ 7.96% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 6% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.32% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.1% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.01% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.63% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.13% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 39.32%
0-1 @ 7.96% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 6% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.32% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.1% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.01% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.63% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.13% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 39.32%