Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a LASK Linz win with a probability of 41.73%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 35.01% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a LASK Linz win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.74%) and 2-0 (5.69%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 1-2 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Toulouse in this match.