Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 46.5%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 28.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.3%) and 0-2 (7.97%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 1-0 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Toulouse | Draw | Rennes |
| 28.43% ( | 25.07% ( | 46.5% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.46% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.4% ( | 48.61% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.28% ( | 70.72% ( |
| Toulouse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.88% ( | 31.13% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.55% ( | 67.45% ( |
| Rennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.07% ( | 20.93% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.33% ( | 53.67% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Toulouse | Draw | Rennes |
| 1-0 @ 7.6% ( 2-1 @ 6.94% ( 2-0 @ 4.44% ( 3-1 @ 2.7% ( 3-2 @ 2.11% ( 3-0 @ 1.73% ( Other @ 2.91% Total : 28.43% | 1-1 @ 11.89% ( 0-0 @ 6.52% ( 2-2 @ 5.43% ( 3-3 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.07% | 0-1 @ 10.18% ( 1-2 @ 9.3% ( 0-2 @ 7.97% ( 1-3 @ 4.85% ( 0-3 @ 4.15% ( 2-3 @ 2.83% ( 1-4 @ 1.9% ( 0-4 @ 1.62% ( 2-4 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 2.59% Total : 46.49% |