Europa League

Europa League | Group Stage

Dec 14, 2023 at 5.45pm UK

Stade de la Route de Lorient

Rennes
2 - 3
Villarreal

Assignon (37'), Blas (79')
Wooh (9'), Bourigeaud (23'), Belocian (33'), Mandanda (45')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Moreno (36' pen.), Akhomach (62'), Parejo (80')
Albiol (18'), Moreno (36'), Parejo (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Rennes and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rennes

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Rennes 1-2 Monaco
Saturday, December 9 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Villarreal

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Villarreal 0-3 Real Sociedad
Saturday, December 9 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 41.36%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 35.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.85%) and 2-0 (5.71%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 1-2 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.

Result
Rennes	Draw	Villarreal
41.36% ( -0.02)	23.39% ( 0.01)	35.25% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 63.49% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.87% (

-0.01)

38.13% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.6% (

-0.01)

60.4% (

0.02)

Rennes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.14% (

-0.01)

18.86% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.68% (

-0.03)

50.32% (

0.03)

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.24% (

0.01)

21.76% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.05% (

0.01)

54.95% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Rennes 41.36%

Villarreal 35.25%

Draw 23.39%

Rennes	Draw	Villarreal
2-1 @ 8.71% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.85% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.71% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.84% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.69% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.18% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.02% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.54% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.32% ( -0) Other @ 3.5% Total : 41.36%	1-1 @ 10.44% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.64% 0-0 @ 4.1% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.88% ( -0) Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.39%	1-2 @ 7.96% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.26% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.77% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.05% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.38% 0-3 @ 2.43% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.54% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.29% 0-4 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 2.65% Total : 35.25%