Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 42.27%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 32.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.84%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 2-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
Result | ||
Villarreal | Draw | Real Sociedad |
32.87% ( -0.03) | 24.87% ( -0.02) | 42.27% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 57.45% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.28% ( 0.1) | 45.73% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.96% ( 0.1) | 68.05% ( -0.09) |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.32% ( 0.03) | 26.68% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.07% ( 0.04) | 61.93% ( -0.03) |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.36% ( 0.08) | 21.65% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.23% ( 0.11) | 54.77% ( -0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Villarreal | Draw | Real Sociedad |
2-1 @ 7.71% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.63% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.04% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.4% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.22% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.12% ( 0) Other @ 3.15% Total : 32.87% | 1-1 @ 11.67% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.78% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.86% | 1-2 @ 8.94% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.84% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.76% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.56% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.45% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.74% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.5% Total : 42.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 33 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 71 | 22 | 49 | 84 |
2 | GironaGirona | 33 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 69 | 40 | 29 | 71 |
3 | Barcelona | 32 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 64 | 37 | 27 | 70 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 33 | 20 | 4 | 9 | 62 | 39 | 23 | 64 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 33 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 46 | 35 | 11 | 51 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 33 | 12 | 13 | 8 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Valencia | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 45 |
10 | Getafe | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 43 |
11 | Osasuna | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 39 |
12 | Sevilla | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 38 |
13 | AlavesAlaves | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 38 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 37 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 27 | 42 | -15 | 34 |
16 | Mallorca | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 32 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 31 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 33 | 4 | 14 | 15 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 36 | 61 | -25 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 33 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 32 | 67 | -35 | 14 |
> La Liga Full Table |