Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 42.27%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 32.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.84%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 2-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Villarreal | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 32.87% ( | 24.87% ( | 42.27% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.45% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.28% ( | 45.73% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.96% ( | 68.05% ( |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.32% ( | 26.68% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.07% ( | 61.93% ( |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.36% ( | 21.65% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.23% ( | 54.77% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Villarreal | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 2-1 @ 7.71% ( 1-0 @ 7.63% ( 2-0 @ 5.04% ( 3-1 @ 3.4% ( 3-2 @ 2.6% ( 3-0 @ 2.22% ( 4-1 @ 1.12% ( Other @ 3.15% Total : 32.87% | 1-1 @ 11.67% ( 2-2 @ 5.9% ( 0-0 @ 5.78% ( 3-3 @ 1.33% ( Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.86% | 1-2 @ 8.94% ( 0-1 @ 8.84% ( 0-2 @ 6.76% ( 1-3 @ 4.56% ( 0-3 @ 3.45% ( 2-3 @ 3.01% ( 1-4 @ 1.74% ( 0-4 @ 1.32% ( 2-4 @ 1.15% ( Other @ 2.5% Total : 42.27% |