Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 17

Dec 20, 2023 at 8pm UK

Allianz Riviera

Nice
2 - 0
Lens

Moffi (76' pen., 78')
Lotomba (26'), Dante (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Khusanov (88'), Guilavogui (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Nice and Lens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nice

All competitions

Last Game: Le Havre 3-1 Nice
Saturday, December 16 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lens

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Lens 2-0 Reims
Saturday, December 16 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 42.92%. A win for Lens had a probability of 29.32% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Lens win was 0-1 (9.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.

Result
Nice	Draw	Lens
42.92% ( 0)	27.76%	29.32%

Both teams to score 46.89%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.37%

58.63% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.82%

79.18% (

Nice Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.95% (

27.05%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.58% (

62.42% (

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.27%

35.73% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.5%

72.5% (

Score Analysis

Nice 42.92%

Lens 29.32%

Draw 27.75%

Nice	Draw	Lens
1-0 @ 12.63% 2-1 @ 8.5% 2-0 @ 8.26% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.71% 3-0 @ 3.6% 3-2 @ 1.91% 4-1 @ 1.21% 4-0 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.92% Total : 42.92%	1-1 @ 13% 0-0 @ 9.66% 2-2 @ 4.38% Other @ 0.71% Total : 27.75%	0-1 @ 9.95% 1-2 @ 6.69% 0-2 @ 5.12% 1-3 @ 2.3% 0-3 @ 1.76% 2-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.01% Total : 29.32%