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Ligue 1

Le Havre
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 16
Dec 16, 2023 at 4pm UK
Stade Oceane
Nice

Le Havre
3 - 1
Nice

Sabbi (5', 35'), Bayo (51' pen.)
Sabbi (27'), Targhalline (62'), Grandsir (80')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Louchet (90+1')
Bard (56'), Dante (79')
Todibo (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Le Havre and Nice, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Le Havre

All competitions
Last Game: Strasbourg 2-1 Le Havre
Sunday, December 10 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Nice

All competitions
Last Game: Nice 2-1 Reims
Sunday, December 10 at 12pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 54.28%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 20.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.14%) and 1-2 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a Le Havre win it was 1-0 (7.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.

Result
Le HavreDrawNice
20.05% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)25.67% (-0.032999999999998 -0.03)54.28% (0.073 0.07)
Both teams to score 44.18% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.19% (0.074000000000005 0.07)57.8% (-0.074999999999996 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.46% (0.058999999999997 0.06)78.54% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Le Havre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.18% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)43.82% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.03% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)79.97% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.63% (0.058999999999997 0.06)21.37% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.65% (0.093000000000004 0.09)54.35% (-0.095000000000006 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Le Havre 20.05%
    Nice 54.27%
    Draw 25.66%
Le HavreDrawNice
1-0 @ 7.73% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-1 @ 4.92% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 3.19% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.35% (-0.002 -0)
3-2 @ 1.04% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 20.05%
1-1 @ 11.92% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.37% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-2 @ 3.8% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 25.66%
0-1 @ 14.45% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 11.14% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.2% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
0-3 @ 5.73% (0.015 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.73% (0.013 0.01)
0-4 @ 2.21% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.95% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.83% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 54.27%

How you voted: Le Havre vs Nice

Le Havre
7.1%
Draw
28.6%
Nice
64.3%
28