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Ligue 1

Strasbourg
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 15
Dec 10, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade de la Meinau
Le Havre

Strasbourg
2 - 1
Le Havre

Emegha (21'), Sylla (90+7')
Sissoko (26'), Perrin (40'), Delaine (73')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Salmier (49')
Salmier (27')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Strasbourg and Le Havre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Strasbourg

All competitions
Last Game: Brest 1-1 Strasbourg
Thursday, December 7 at 7.30pm in Ligue 1

Le Havre

All competitions
Last Game: Le Havre 0-2 PSG
Sunday, December 3 at 12pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 41.27%. A win for Le Havre had a probability of 31% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Le Havre win was 0-1 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Strasbourg would win this match.

Result
StrasbourgDrawLe Havre
41.27% (0.065000000000005 0.07)27.73% (-0.012 -0.01)31% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
Both teams to score 47.67% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.01% (0.026000000000003 0.03)57.98% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.32% (0.021000000000001 0.02)78.68% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Strasbourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.36% (0.046999999999997 0.05)27.64% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.82% (0.061 0.06)63.18% (-0.061 -0.06)
Le Havre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.88% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)34.12% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.19% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)70.81% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Strasbourg 41.26%
    Le Havre 31%
    Draw 27.73%
StrasbourgDrawLe Havre
1-0 @ 12.12%
2-1 @ 8.39% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.8% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.59% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.34% (0.01 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.93% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.16% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.08% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 41.26%
1-1 @ 13.04%
0-0 @ 9.43% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.51% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 27.73%
0-1 @ 10.14% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.01% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.45% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.51% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.95% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.62% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 31%

How you voted: Strasbourg vs Le Havre

Strasbourg
46.2%
Draw
38.5%
Le Havre
15.4%
13