Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lorient logo
Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Ligue 1 header desktop

Ligue 1

Toulouse
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 19
Jan 28, 2024 at 4.05pm UK
Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
Lens logo

Toulouse
0 - 2
Lens


Martinez (37'), Donnum (40'), Nicolaisen (45'), Suazo (49')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Costa (42'), Diouf (55')
Said (36'), Haidara (83'), Sotoca (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Lens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toulouse

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Rouen 3-3 Toulouse (12-11 pen.)
Sunday, January 21 at 4.30pm in Coupe de France

Lens

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 0-2 PSG
Sunday, January 14 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 45.97%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 28.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.18%) and 0-2 (8.18%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 1-0 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.

Result
ToulouseDrawLens
28.34% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)25.69% (0.0010000000000012 0)45.97% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 52.42% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.76% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)51.24% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.92% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)73.07% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.44% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)32.56% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.9% (-0.026 -0.03)69.1% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.73% (0.0010000000000048 0)22.27% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.29% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)55.71% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Toulouse 28.34%
    Lens 45.97%
    Draw 25.69%
ToulouseDrawLens
1-0 @ 8.14%
2-1 @ 6.86% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-0 @ 4.56% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 2.56% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.93% (-0.002 -0)
3-0 @ 1.71% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 28.34%
1-1 @ 12.22%
0-0 @ 7.25% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-2 @ 5.15% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.69%
0-1 @ 10.89% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.18% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 8.18% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.6% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-3 @ 4.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.58% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-4 @ 1.73%
0-4 @ 1.54% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 45.97%

How you voted: Toulouse vs Lens

Toulouse
30.3%
Draw
9.1%
Lens
60.6%
33
Head to Head
Sep 24, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 6
Lens
2-1
Toulouse
Said (45+2'), Guilavogui (84')
Gradit (54'), Wahi (75')
Gelabert (33')
Donnum (69')
> Preview
May 2, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 33
Toulouse
0-1
Lens
Openda (33')
> Preview
Oct 28, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 13
Lens
3-0
Toulouse
Openda (60', 86', 90+1')
> Preview
Mar 14, 2015 7pm
Lens
1-0
Toulouse
Chavarria (76')
Nomenjanahary (66'), Landre (90')

Grigore (67')
> Match Report
Oct 24, 2014 7.30pm
Toulouse
0-2
Lens

Grigore (90')
El Jadeyaoui (11'), Bourigeaud (27')
El Jadeyaoui (58'), Sylla (88')
> Match Report