Ligue 1
Gameweek
19
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-
Carles Martinez
37'
-
Aron Donnum
40'
-
Rasmus Nicolaisen
45'
-
Gabriel Suazo
49'
-
Wesley Said
36'
-
David Costa
42'
-
Andy Diouf
55'
-
Massadio Haidara
83'
-
Florian Sotoca
90'
Toulouse vs Lens - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 45.97%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 28.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.18%) and 0-2 (8.18%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 1-0 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.
Result
Toulouse
28.34%
▼
(-0.03)
Draw
25.69%
▲
(+0.01)
Lens
45.97%
▲
(+0.02)
Both Teams to Score:
52.42%
▼
(-0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5
48.76%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 2.5
51.24%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 3.5
26.92%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 3.5
73.07%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 4.5
12.6%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 4.5
87.4%
▲
(+0.01)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5
67.44%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 0.5
32.56%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 1.5
30.9%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 1.5
69.1%
▲
(+0.03)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5
77.73%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
22.27%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
44.29%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
55.71%
▼
(-0.01)
Score analysis
Toulouse
28.34%
Draw
25.69%
Lens
45.97%
Toulouse
1-0
@
8.14%
2-1 @ 6.86% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 4.56% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.56% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.93% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.71% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 28.34%
2-1 @ 6.86% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 4.56% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.56% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.93% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.71% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 28.34%
Draw
1-1
@
12.22%
0-0 @ 7.25% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.15% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.07%
Total : 25.69%
0-0 @ 7.25% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.15% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.07%
Total : 25.69%
Lens
0-1
@
10.89%
▲
(+0.01)
1-2 @ 9.18% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 8.18% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.6% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 4.1% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.58% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.73%
0-4 @ 1.54% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 45.97%
1-2 @ 9.18% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 8.18% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.6% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 4.1% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.58% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.73%
0-4 @ 1.54% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 45.97%