Coupe de France | Round of 32
Jan 21, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Stade Robert Diochon
Toulouse

Rouen
3 - 3
Toulouse

Berrezkami (16'), Sanson (43' pen.), Bouzamoucha (64')
Aggoune (83')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Sierro (19' pen.), Gboho (32'), Nicolaisen (90+2')
Cissoko (43'), Spierings (63')
Rouen win 12-11 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Coupe de France clash between Rouen and Toulouse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rouen

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Last Game: Louhans-Cuiseaux 0-2 Rouen
Sunday, January 7 at 4.30pm in Coupe de France
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Toulouse

All competitions
Coupe de France
Last Game: Metz 0-1 Toulouse
Sunday, January 14 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 68.32%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Rouen had a probability of 13.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.73%) and 0-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.5%), while for a Rouen win it was 2-1 (3.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
RouenDrawToulouse
13.49% (0.282 0.28)18.19% (0.119 0.12)68.32% (-0.399 -0.4)
Both teams to score 53.8% (0.415 0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.06% (0.13 0.13)37.94% (-0.129 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.8% (0.139 0.14)60.19% (-0.139 -0.14)
Rouen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.86% (0.502 0.5)40.13% (-0.502 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.22% (0.454 0.45)76.78% (-0.45299999999999 -0.45)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.87% (-0.061000000000007 -0.06)10.13% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.67% (-0.14399999999999 -0.14)33.32% (0.144 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Rouen 13.49%
    Toulouse 68.31%
    Draw 18.19%
RouenDrawToulouse
2-1 @ 3.88% (0.07 0.07)
1-0 @ 3.71% (0.028 0.03)
2-0 @ 1.69% (0.035 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.35% (0.04 0.04)
3-1 @ 1.18% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 13.49%
1-1 @ 8.5% (0.041 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.44% (0.069 0.07)
0-0 @ 4.07% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.03% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 18.19%
0-2 @ 10.65% (-0.13 -0.13)
1-2 @ 9.73% (0.02 0.02)
0-1 @ 9.31% (-0.083 -0.08)
0-3 @ 8.13% (-0.117 -0.12)
1-3 @ 7.43% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-4 @ 4.66% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-4 @ 4.25% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.39% (0.044 0.04)
0-5 @ 2.13% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-5 @ 1.95% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.94% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 4.75%
Total : 68.31%