Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 53.89%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 23.3% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-2 (6.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.