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Bundesliga

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Bundesliga | Gameweek 20
Feb 3, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Schwarzwald-Stadion
Stuttgart

Freiburg
1 - 3
Stuttgart

Kubler (45+11')
Streich (21'), Ginter (41'), Eggestein (45+4'), Kubler (90'), Philipp (90+9')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Undav (3'), Fuhrich (7'), Mittelstadt (74')
Mittelstadt (72'), Stiller (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Stuttgart, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Werder Bremen 3-1 Freiburg
Saturday, January 27 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Stuttgart

All competitions
Last Game: Stuttgart 5-2 RB Leipzig
Saturday, January 27 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 44.13%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 32.6% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.14%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 1-2 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result
FreiburgDrawStuttgart
44.13% (0.458 0.46)23.26% (0.064 0.06)32.6% (-0.523 -0.52)
Both teams to score 63.09% (-0.454 -0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.71% (-0.508 -0.51)38.29% (0.508 0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.43% (-0.541 -0.54)60.57% (0.53899999999999 0.54)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.23% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)17.76% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.53% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)48.46% (0.031000000000006 0.03)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.72% (-0.536 -0.54)23.27% (0.536 0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.79% (-0.787 -0.79)57.2% (0.785 0.79)
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 44.13%
    Stuttgart 32.6%
    Draw 23.26%
FreiburgDrawStuttgart
2-1 @ 9% (0.065 0.06)
1-0 @ 7.14% (0.167 0.17)
2-0 @ 6.17% (0.141 0.14)
3-1 @ 5.18% (0.035 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.78% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.56% (0.079 0.08)
4-1 @ 2.24% (0.014 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.63% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.54% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 44.13%
1-1 @ 10.41% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 6.56% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 4.13% (0.099 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.84% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 23.26%
1-2 @ 7.59% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-1 @ 6.03% (0.05 0.05)
0-2 @ 4.39% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.69% (-0.089 -0.09)
2-3 @ 3.19% (-0.078 -0.08)
0-3 @ 2.14% (-0.05 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.35% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.16% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 32.6%

How you voted: Freiburg vs Stuttgart

Freiburg
57.9%
Draw
21.1%
Stuttgart
21.1%
57
Head to Head
Sep 2, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
Stuttgart
5-0
Freiburg
Fuhrich (8', 62'), Guirassy (17', 19'), Millot (75')
Ito (38')

Philipp (86')
> Preview
Feb 11, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
Freiburg
2-1
Stuttgart
Grifo (60' pen., 84' pen.)
Fuhrich (30')
> Preview
Aug 20, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
Stuttgart
0-1
Freiburg

Sosa (15'), Fuhrich (28'), Ahamada (46'), Mavropanos (90+8')
Grifo (11')
Sallai (28'), Keitel (84')
> Preview
Jan 22, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
Freiburg
2-0
Stuttgart
Ito (37' og.), Schade (72')
Hofler (24')

Sosa (90+4')
> Preview
Aug 28, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
Stuttgart
2-3
Freiburg
Mavropanos (45'), Al Ghaddioui (45+2')
Forster (13'), Klimowicz (55')
Woo-yeong (3', 9'), Holer (28')
Schade (89')
> Preview