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Bundesliga | Gameweek 23
Feb 24, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Leipzig logo

Bayern
2 - 1
RB Leipzig

Kane (56', 90+1')
Pavlovic (37'), de Ligt (59'), Musiala (66')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Sesko (70')
Orban (41'), Schlager (67'), Simakan (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: VfL Bochum 3-2 Bayern
Sunday, February 18 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Bayern Munich 2-2 RB Leipzig

Bayern Munich can ill-afford any more slip-ups in the Bundesliga if they are to keep their slim hopes of retaining the title alive, but that is easier said than done against a Leipzig outfit who have fared well against the Bavarians in recent meetings. Indeed, Die Roten Bullen are no pushovers for Bayern, and taking into account the contrasting moods within the two camps, we believe that the visitors will find a way to frustrate the hosts and claim a share of the spoils in an entertaining score draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 67.15%. A draw has a probability of 17.5% and a win for RB Leipzig has a probability of 15.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.49%) and 3-1 (7.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (7.63%), while for a RB Leipzig win it is 1-2 (4.24%).

Result
Bayern MunichDrawRB Leipzig
67.15% (0.016999999999996 0.02) 17.55% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 15.29% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
Both teams to score 61.43% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.45% (0.025000000000006 0.03)30.55% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.15% (0.030999999999999 0.03)51.85% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.56% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)8.43% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.71% (0.024000000000001 0.02)29.28% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.09% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)32.91% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.51% (0.009999999999998 0.01)69.48% (-0.012 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 67.15%
    RB Leipzig 15.29%
    Draw 17.55%
Bayern MunichDrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 9.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 8.49% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.78% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 7%
1-0 @ 6.86% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-1 @ 4.81% (0.0039999999999996 0)
4-0 @ 4.33% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-2 @ 4.32% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-2 @ 2.67% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 2.38% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 2.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-2 @ 1.32% (0.002 0)
4-3 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
6-1 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 67.15%
1-1 @ 7.63% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.24% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 2.77% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.6% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 17.55%
1-2 @ 4.24% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
0-1 @ 3.08% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.94%
0-2 @ 1.71% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.57% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 15.29%

How you voted: Bayern vs RB Leipzig

Bayern Munich
47.8%
Draw
21.7%
RB Leipzig
30.4%
92
Head to Head
Sep 30, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 6
RB Leipzig
2-2
Bayern
Openda (20'), Lukeba (26')
Simakan (54'), Lukeba (64')
Kane (57' pen.), Sane (70')
Kane (38'), Ulreich (44'), Upamecano (51'), Musiala (72'), Tel (81')
Aug 12, 2023 7.45pm
Final
Bayern
0-3
RB Leipzig

Pavard (13'), Upamecano (34')
Olmo (3', 44', 68')
Olmo (71')
May 20, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 33
Bayern
1-3
RB Leipzig
Gnabry (25')
Pavard (72')
Laimer (64'), Nkunku (76' pen.), Szoboszlai (86' pen.)
Gvardiol (68')
Jan 20, 2023 7.30pm
Jul 30, 2022 7.30pm
Final
RB Leipzig
3-5
Bayern
Halstenberg (59'), Nkunku (77' pen.), Olmo (89')
Simakan (36'), Klostermann (90+2')
Musiala (14'), Mane (31'), Pavard (45'), Gnabry (66'), Sane (90+8')
Kimmich (64'), Hernandez (73'), Pavard (76'), Sane (87'), Neuer (90+7')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Result
Ruud
Tsitsipas
1 4
6 6
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen29254074195579
2Bayern MunichBayern29203682364663
3Stuttgart29203667343363
4RB Leipzig29175767333456
5Borussia DortmundDortmund29168557342356
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt29101274339442
7Augsburg29109104746139
8Freiburg29116124152-1139
9Hoffenheim29106134957-836
10Heidenheim29810114250-834
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach29710125056-631
12Werder Bremen2987143649-1331
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin2985162545-2029
14Wolfsburg2977153450-1628
15VfL BochumVfL Bochum29512123459-2527
16Mainz 05Mainz29511133047-1726
17FC Koln29410152351-2822
18SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt2928192872-4414


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