Champions League
Feb 13, 2024 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Red Bull Arena
  • Marco Rose 45' yellowcard
  • Mohamed Simakan 53' yellowcard
  • Yussuf Poulsen 77' yellowcard
  • Benjamin Sesko 85' yellowcard
  • goal Brahim Diaz 48'
  • yellowcard Dani Carvajal 66'
  • yellowcard Vinicius Junior 85'

RB Leipzig vs Real Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

All competitions

Real Madrid

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 40.22%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 36.32% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.77%) and 0-2 (5.55%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 2-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result

RB Leipzig 36.32% (+0.04)
Draw 23.45%
Real Madrid 40.22% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.45% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 61.75% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 38.25% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 39.47% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 60.52% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 21.72% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 78.28% (-0.01)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5 78.73% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 21.26% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 45.82% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 54.18% (-0.04)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 80.59% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 19.41% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 48.77% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 51.23% (+0.03)

Score analysis

RB Leipzig 36.32%
Draw 23.45%
Real Madrid 40.22%
RB Leipzig
2-1 @ 8.11% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 6.39% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 4.95% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.19% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.43% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.55% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.62% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.33% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 36.32%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.47%
2-2 @ 6.65% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.13% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.88% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 23.45%
Real Madrid
1-2 @ 8.59% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 6.77% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.55% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.69% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.63% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.03% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.92% (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.49% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.24% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 40.22%

Head to Head

Champions League
Oct 25, 2022 8.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Josko Gvardiol 13' goal
  • Christopher Nkunku 18' goal
  • Timo Werner 81' goal
  • goal Vinicius Junior 44'
  • goal Rodrygo 90'+4'
Champions League
Sep 14, 2022 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
  • Federico Valverde 80' goal
  • Marco Asensio 90'+1' goal

Build-up

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