La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 20

Feb 1, 2024 at 8pm UK

Coliseum Alfonso Perez

Getafe
0 - 2
Real Madrid

Dakonam (26')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Joselu (14', 56')
Mendy (30'), Ancelotti (90+4'), Tchouameni (90+3')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Getafe

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Getafe 2-0 Granada
Monday, January 29 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Real Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Las Palmas 1-2 Real Madrid
Saturday, January 27 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 59%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 17.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.74%) and 1-2 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a Getafe win it was 1-0 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Getafe	Draw	Real Madrid
17.44% ( -0.62)	23.56% ( 0.07)	59% ( 0.55)

Both teams to score 45.74% (

-1.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.55% (

-1.14)

53.45% (

1.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.03% (

-0.97)

74.97% (

0.97)

Getafe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.68% (

-1.43)

44.32% (

1.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.61% (

-1.19)

80.39% (

1.19)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.14% (

-0.22)

17.86% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.38% (

-0.38)

48.62% (

0.38)

Score Analysis

Getafe 17.44%

Real Madrid 58.99%

Draw 23.56%

Getafe	Draw	Real Madrid
1-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 4.51% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 2.62% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.1) Other @ 1.59% Total : 17.44%	1-1 @ 11.09% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.91% ( 0.35) 2-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.19) Other @ 0.66% Total : 23.56%	0-1 @ 13.63% ( 0.51) 0-2 @ 11.74% ( 0.36) 1-2 @ 9.56% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 6.75% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 5.49% ( -0.09) 0-4 @ 2.91% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 2.36% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.13) 0-5 @ 1% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.36% Total : 58.99%