La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 18

Dec 21, 2023 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio de Mendizorroza

Alaves
0 - 1
Real Madrid

Duarte (45'), Lopez (83'), Tenaglia (90')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Vazquez (90+2')
Ancelotti (39'), Bellingham (84')
Nacho (54')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Alaves

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Girona 3-0 Alaves
Monday, December 18 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Real Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Real Madrid 4-1 Villarreal
Sunday, December 17 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 47.79%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 26.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.25%) and 0-2 (8.79%). The likeliest Alaves win was 1-0 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Real Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Real Madrid.

Result
Alaves	Draw	Real Madrid
26.43% ( 0.35)	25.78% ( 0)	47.79% ( -0.36)

Both teams to score 50.73% (

0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.23% (

0.23)

52.76% (

-0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.6% (

0.19)

74.39% (

-0.19)

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.11% (

0.41)

34.88% (

-0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.38% (

0.44)

71.62% (

-0.44)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.91% (

-0.06)

22.08% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.56% (

-0.1)

55.44% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Alaves 26.43%

Real Madrid 47.78%

Draw 25.78%

Alaves	Draw	Real Madrid
1-0 @ 8.11% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.45% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 4.27% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 2.27% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.71% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.11% Total : 26.43%	1-1 @ 12.25% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.7% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.87% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.95% Total : 25.78%	0-1 @ 11.63% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 9.25% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.79% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 4.66% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 4.42% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.76% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.67% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.22% Total : 47.78%