La Liga Gameweek 18
Alaves
Dec 21, 2023 8.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Mendizorroza
Real Madrid
  • Ruben Duarte 45' yellowcard
  • Javi Lopez 83' yellowcard
  • Nahuel Tenaglia 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Carlo Ancelotti 39'
  • redcard Nacho 54'
  • yellowcard Jude Bellingham 84'
  • goal Lucas Vazquez 90'+2'

Alaves vs Real Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Alaves

All competitions
Last game
Dec 18, 2023 8.00pm
Girona 3 - 0 Alaves
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Samu Omorodion

Real Madrid

All competitions
Last game
Dec 17, 2023 8.00pm
Real Madrid 4 - 1 Villarreal
Goals scored
87
Top scorer
Jude Bellingham

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 47.79%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 26.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.25%) and 0-2 (8.79%). The likeliest Alaves win was 1-0 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Real Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Real Madrid.

Result

Alaves 26.43% ▲ (+0.36)
Draw 25.78% ▲ (+0.01)
Real Madrid 47.79% ▼ (-0.36)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.73% ▲ (+0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.23% ▲ (+0.23)
Under 2.5 52.76% ▼ (-0.23)
Over 3.5 25.6% ▲ (+0.20)
Under 3.5 74.39% ▼ (-0.20)
Over 4.5 11.74% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 4.5 88.25% ▼ (-0.13)

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5 65.11% ▲ (+0.42)
Under 0.5 34.88% ▼ (-0.42)
Over 1.5 28.38% ▲ (+0.44)
Under 1.5 71.62% ▼ (-0.44)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 77.91% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 0.5 22.08% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 1.5 44.56% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 1.5 55.44% ▲ (+0.10)

Score analysis

Alaves 26.43%
Draw 25.78%
Real Madrid 47.78%
Alaves
1-0 @ 8.11% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 6.45% ▲ (+0.08)
2-0 @ 4.27% ▲ (+0.06)
3-1 @ 2.27% ▲ (+0.06)
3-2 @ 1.71% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 1.5% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 26.43%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.25% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.7% ▼ (-0.07)
2-2 @ 4.87% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 25.78%
Real Madrid
0-1 @ 11.63% ▼ (-0.13)
1-2 @ 9.25% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 8.79% ▼ (-0.12)
1-3 @ 4.66% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 4.42% ▼ (-0.07)
2-3 @ 2.45% ▲ (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.76% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.67% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 47.78%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 25
Real Madrid
Feb 19, 2022 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Alaves
  • Luka Modric 33' yellowcard
  • Marco Asensio 63' goal
  • Vinicius Junior 80' goal
  • Karim Benzema 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Mamadou N'Diaye 48'
La Liga Gameweek 1
Alaves
Aug 14, 2021 9.00pm
1
4
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Mendizorroza
Real Madrid
  • Manu Garcia 35' yellowcard
  • Joselu 65' goal
  • goal Karim Benzema 48'
  • yellowcard Gareth Bale 53'
  • goal Nacho 56'
  • goal Karim Benzema 62'
  • yellowcard Thibaut Courtois 64'
  • goal Vinicius Junior 90'+2'
La Liga Gameweek 20
Alaves
Jan 23, 2021 8.00pm
1
4
HT : 0 3
FT
Real Madrid
  • Ximo Navarro 10' yellowcard
  • Manu Garcia 49' yellowcard
  • Joselu 59' goal
  • Victor Laguardia 79' yellowcard
  • Borja Sainz 85' yellowcard
  • Edgar Mendez 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Casemiro 15'
  • goal Karim Benzema 41'
  • goal Eden Hazard 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Eder Militao 59'
  • goal Karim Benzema 70'
  • yellowcard Ferland Mendy 86'
  • yellowcard Karim Benzema 88'
La Liga Gameweek 11
Real Madrid
Nov 28, 2020 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Alaves
  • Casemiro 18' yellowcard
  • Toni Kroos 61' yellowcard
  • Casemiro 86' goal
  • goal Lucas Perez 5'
  • goal Joselu 49'
  • yellowcard Luis Rioja 67'
  • yellowcard Ruben Duarte 76'
  • yellowcard Edgar Mendez 88'
La Liga Gameweek 35
Real Madrid
Jul 10, 2020 9.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Santiago Bernabeu
Alaves
  • Karim Benzema 11' goal
  • Marco Asensio 50' goal
  • yellowcard Abdallahi Mahmoud 83'
La Liga Gameweek 15
Alaves
Nov 30, 2019 12.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Mendizorroza (Vitoria-Gasteiz)
Real Madrid
  • Aleix Vidal 7' yellowcard
  • Tomas Pina 45' yellowcard
  • Lucas Perez 64' goal
  • Lucas Perez 67' yellowcard
  • Ruben Duarte 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luka Modric 32'
  • goal Sergio Ramos 52'
  • yellowcard Sergio Ramos 64'
  • goal Dani Carvajal 70'
  • yellowcard Eder Militao 80'

Form Data

Girona 3 - 0 Alaves
Alaves 0 - 1 Las Palmas
Terrassa 0 - 1 Alaves
Mallorca 0 - 0 Alaves
Alaves 3 - 1 Granada
Barcelona 2 - 1 Alaves
Real Madrid 4 - 1 Villarreal
Union Berlin 2 - 3 Real Madrid
Betis 1 - 1 Real Madrid
Real Madrid 2 - 0 Granada
Real Madrid 4 - 2 Napoli
Cadiz 0 - 3 Real Madrid

Build-up

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