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La Liga | Gameweek 14
Nov 24, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio de Mendizorroza
Granada logo

Alaves
3 - 1
Granada

Torrente (11' og.), Rebbach (38'), Omorodion (55')
Guevara (9')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Uzuni (86' pen.)
Villar (16'), Boye (59'), Sanchez (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Alaves and Granada, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barcelona 2-1 Alaves
Sunday, November 12 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Granada 1-1 Getafe
Saturday, November 11 at 5.30pm in La Liga

We said: Alaves 1-1 Granada

These two teams played out a 1-1 draw when they locked horns at the home of Alaves in the Segunda Division last season, and we are expecting the same scoreline to occur on Friday evening, as both managers will be wary of suffering what would be a damaging loss at this stage of the campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 43.15%. A win for Granada had a probability of 28.81% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest Granada win was 0-1 (10.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alaves would win this match.

Result
AlavesDrawGranada
43.15% (-0.758 -0.76) 28.04% (0.285 0.29) 28.81% (0.47 0.47)
Both teams to score 45.85% (-0.524 -0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.18% (-0.79 -0.79)59.82% (0.789 0.79)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.9% (-0.605 -0.61)80.1% (0.60599999999999 0.61)
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.51% (-0.767 -0.77)27.49% (0.768 0.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.02% (-1.001 -1)62.98% (1.001 1)
Granada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.23% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)36.77% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.45% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05)73.56% (0.052000000000007 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Alaves 43.15%
    Granada 28.81%
    Draw 28.03%
AlavesDrawGranada
1-0 @ 13.05% (0.11 0.11)
2-1 @ 8.43% (-0.129 -0.13)
2-0 @ 8.43% (-0.116 -0.12)
3-1 @ 3.63% (-0.136 -0.14)
3-0 @ 3.63% (-0.131 -0.13)
3-2 @ 1.82% (-0.071 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.17% (-0.071 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.17% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 43.15%
1-1 @ 13.05% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 10.1% (0.29 0.29)
2-2 @ 4.22% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 28.03%
0-1 @ 10.11% (0.281 0.28)
1-2 @ 6.53% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 5.06% (0.135 0.14)
1-3 @ 2.18% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.69% (0.042 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.41% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 28.81%

How you voted: Alaves vs Granada

Alaves
45.9%
Draw
39.3%
Granada
14.8%
61
Head to Head
May 5, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 39
Alaves
1-1
Granada
Rioja (66')
Uzuni (22' pen.)
Dec 2, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 18
Granada
3-1
Alaves
Uzuni (23'), Meseguer (31'), Molina (51')
Alkain (11')
Mar 19, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 29
Alaves
2-3
Granada
Escalante (53'), Vallejo (57')
N'Diaye (4'), Tenaglia (41'), de la Fuente (89'), Escalante (90+6')
Escudero (50'), Puertas (75'), Suarez Charris (87')
Quini (27'), Uzuni (45+3'), Petrovic (61'), Sanchez (90'), Diaz (90+8'), Escudero (90+8')
Escandell (90+8')
Dec 3, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 16
Granada
2-1
Alaves
Puertas (14'), Arias (86')
Abram (40'), Brice Eteki (79')
Abram (81' og.)
Laguardia (45+1'), Lopez (86')
May 16, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 37
Alaves
4-2
Granada
Pons (8'), Duarte (21'), Joselu (66'), Rioja (72')
Guidetti (90+3'), Garcia (90+3')
Molina (31'), Puertas (63')
Perez (20'), Brice Eteki (30'), Duarte (45'), Quini (47')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid33266171224984
2Barcelona33227468392973
3GironaGirona33225669402971
4Atletico MadridAtletico33204962392364
5Athletic Bilbao331610753332058
6Real Sociedad331312846351151
7Real BetisBetis33121384139249
8Valencia33138123738-147
9Villarreal33129125455-145
10Getafe331013104145-443
11Osasuna33116163749-1239
12AlavesAlaves33108153138-738
13Sevilla33911134246-438
14Las PalmasLas Palmas33107163041-1137
15Rayo Vallecano33713132742-1534
16Mallorca33614132739-1232
17Celta Vigo33710163750-1331
18CadizCadiz33414152346-2326
19Granada3349203661-2521
RAlmeria33111213267-3514


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