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La Liga | Gameweek 14
Nov 24, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio de Mendizorroza
Granada logo

Alaves
3 - 1
Granada

Torrente (11' og.), Rebbach (38'), Omorodion (55')
Guevara (9')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Uzuni (86' pen.)
Villar (16'), Boye (59'), Sanchez (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Alaves and Granada, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barcelona 2-1 Alaves
Sunday, November 12 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Granada 1-1 Getafe
Saturday, November 11 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 43.15%. A win for Granada had a probability of 28.81% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest Granada win was 0-1 (10.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alaves would win this match.

Result
AlavesDrawGranada
43.15% (-0.758 -0.76)28.04% (0.285 0.29)28.81% (0.47 0.47)
Both teams to score 45.85% (-0.524 -0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.18% (-0.79 -0.79)59.82% (0.789 0.79)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.9% (-0.605 -0.61)80.1% (0.60599999999999 0.61)
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.51% (-0.767 -0.77)27.49% (0.768 0.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.02% (-1.001 -1)62.98% (1.001 1)
Granada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.23% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)36.77% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.45% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05)73.56% (0.052000000000007 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Alaves 43.15%
    Granada 28.81%
    Draw 28.03%
AlavesDrawGranada
1-0 @ 13.05% (0.11 0.11)
2-1 @ 8.43% (-0.129 -0.13)
2-0 @ 8.43% (-0.116 -0.12)
3-1 @ 3.63% (-0.136 -0.14)
3-0 @ 3.63% (-0.131 -0.13)
3-2 @ 1.82% (-0.071 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.17% (-0.071 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.17% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 43.15%
1-1 @ 13.05% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 10.1% (0.29 0.29)
2-2 @ 4.22% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 28.03%
0-1 @ 10.11% (0.281 0.28)
1-2 @ 6.53% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 5.06% (0.135 0.14)
1-3 @ 2.18% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.69% (0.042 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.41% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 28.81%

How you voted: Alaves vs Granada

Alaves
45.9%
Draw
39.3%
Granada
14.8%
61
Head to Head
May 5, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 39
Alaves
1-1
Granada
Rioja (66')
Uzuni (22' pen.)
Dec 2, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 18
Granada
3-1
Alaves
Uzuni (23'), Meseguer (31'), Molina (51')
Alkain (11')
Mar 19, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 29
Alaves
2-3
Granada
Escalante (53'), Vallejo (57')
N'Diaye (4'), Tenaglia (41'), de la Fuente (89'), Escalante (90+6')
Escudero (50'), Puertas (75'), Suarez Charris (87')
Quini (27'), Uzuni (45+3'), Petrovic (61'), Sanchez (90'), Diaz (90+8'), Escudero (90+8')
Escandell (90+8')
Dec 3, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 16
Granada
2-1
Alaves
Puertas (14'), Arias (86')
Abram (40'), Brice Eteki (79')
Abram (81' og.)
Laguardia (45+1'), Lopez (86')
May 16, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 37
Alaves
4-2
Granada
Pons (8'), Duarte (21'), Joselu (66'), Rioja (72')
Guidetti (90+3'), Garcia (90+3')
Molina (31'), Puertas (63')
Perez (20'), Brice Eteki (30'), Duarte (45'), Quini (47')