Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 43.15%. A win for Granada had a probability of 28.81% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest Granada win was 0-1 (10.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alaves would win this match.
Result | ||
Alaves | Draw | Granada |
43.15% ( -0.76) | 28.04% ( 0.29) | 28.81% ( 0.47) |
Both teams to score 45.85% ( -0.52) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.18% ( -0.79) | 59.82% ( 0.79) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.9% ( -0.61) | 80.1% ( 0.61) |
Alaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.51% ( -0.77) | 27.49% ( 0.77) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.02% ( -1) | 62.98% ( 1) |
Granada Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.23% ( -0.05) | 36.77% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.45% ( -0.05) | 73.56% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Alaves | Draw | Granada |
1-0 @ 13.05% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 8.43% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 8.43% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 3.63% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 3.63% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.82% Total : 43.15% | 1-1 @ 13.05% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 10.1% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 4.22% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.03% | 0-1 @ 10.11% ( 0.28) 1-2 @ 6.53% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 5.06% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.83% Total : 28.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 33 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 71 | 22 | 49 | 84 |
2 | Barcelona | 33 | 22 | 7 | 4 | 68 | 39 | 29 | 73 |
3 | GironaGirona | 33 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 69 | 40 | 29 | 71 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 33 | 20 | 4 | 9 | 62 | 39 | 23 | 64 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 33 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 46 | 35 | 11 | 51 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 33 | 12 | 13 | 8 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Valencia | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 45 |
10 | Getafe | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 43 |
11 | Osasuna | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 39 |
12 | AlavesAlaves | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 38 |
13 | Sevilla | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 38 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 37 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 27 | 42 | -15 | 34 |
16 | Mallorca | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 32 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 31 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 33 | 4 | 14 | 15 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 36 | 61 | -25 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 33 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 32 | 67 | -35 | 14 |
> La Liga Full Table |