Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 43.15%. A win for Granada had a probability of 28.81% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest Granada win was 0-1 (10.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alaves would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Alaves | Draw | Granada |
| 43.15% ( | 28.04% ( | 28.81% ( |
| Both teams to score 45.85% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.18% ( | 59.82% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.9% ( | 80.1% ( |
| Alaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.51% ( | 27.49% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.02% ( | 62.98% ( |
| Granada Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.23% ( | 36.77% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.45% ( | 73.56% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Alaves | Draw | Granada |
| 1-0 @ 13.05% ( 2-1 @ 8.43% ( 2-0 @ 8.43% ( 3-1 @ 3.63% ( 3-0 @ 3.63% ( 3-2 @ 1.82% ( 4-1 @ 1.17% ( 4-0 @ 1.17% ( Other @ 1.82% Total : 43.15% | 1-1 @ 13.05% ( 0-0 @ 10.1% ( 2-2 @ 4.22% ( Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.03% | 0-1 @ 10.11% ( 1-2 @ 6.53% ( 0-2 @ 5.06% ( 1-3 @ 2.18% ( 0-3 @ 1.69% ( 2-3 @ 1.41% ( Other @ 1.83% Total : 28.81% |