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La Liga | Gameweek 14
Nov 24, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio de Mendizorroza
Granada logo

Alaves
3 - 1
Granada

Torrente (11' og.), Rebbach (38'), Omorodion (55')
Guevara (9')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Uzuni (86' pen.)
Villar (16'), Boye (59'), Sanchez (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Alaves and Granada, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barcelona 2-1 Alaves
Sunday, November 12 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Granada 1-1 Getafe
Saturday, November 11 at 5.30pm in La Liga

We said: Alaves 1-1 Granada

These two teams played out a 1-1 draw when they locked horns at the home of Alaves in the Segunda Division last season, and we are expecting the same scoreline to occur on Friday evening, as both managers will be wary of suffering what would be a damaging loss at this stage of the campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 43.15%. A win for Granada had a probability of 28.81% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest Granada win was 0-1 (10.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alaves would win this match.

Result
AlavesDrawGranada
43.15% (-0.758 -0.76) 28.04% (0.285 0.29) 28.81% (0.47 0.47)
Both teams to score 45.85% (-0.524 -0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.18% (-0.79 -0.79)59.82% (0.789 0.79)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.9% (-0.605 -0.61)80.1% (0.60599999999999 0.61)
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.51% (-0.767 -0.77)27.49% (0.768 0.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.02% (-1.001 -1)62.98% (1.001 1)
Granada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.23% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)36.77% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.45% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05)73.56% (0.052000000000007 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Alaves 43.15%
    Granada 28.81%
    Draw 28.03%
AlavesDrawGranada
1-0 @ 13.05% (0.11 0.11)
2-1 @ 8.43% (-0.129 -0.13)
2-0 @ 8.43% (-0.116 -0.12)
3-1 @ 3.63% (-0.136 -0.14)
3-0 @ 3.63% (-0.131 -0.13)
3-2 @ 1.82% (-0.071 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.17% (-0.071 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.17% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 43.15%
1-1 @ 13.05% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 10.1% (0.29 0.29)
2-2 @ 4.22% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 28.03%
0-1 @ 10.11% (0.281 0.28)
1-2 @ 6.53% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 5.06% (0.135 0.14)
1-3 @ 2.18% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.69% (0.042 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.41% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 28.81%

How you voted: Alaves vs Granada

Alaves
45.9%
Draw
39.3%
Granada
14.8%
61
Head to Head
May 5, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 39
Alaves
1-1
Granada
Rioja (66')
Uzuni (22' pen.)
Dec 2, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 18
Granada
3-1
Alaves
Uzuni (23'), Meseguer (31'), Molina (51')
Alkain (11')
Mar 19, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 29
Alaves
2-3
Granada
Escalante (53'), Vallejo (57')
N'Diaye (4'), Tenaglia (41'), de la Fuente (89'), Escalante (90+6')
Escudero (50'), Puertas (75'), Suarez Charris (87')
Quini (27'), Uzuni (45+3'), Petrovic (61'), Sanchez (90'), Diaz (90+8'), Escudero (90+8')
Escandell (90+8')
Dec 3, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 16
Granada
2-1
Alaves
Puertas (14'), Arias (86')
Abram (40'), Brice Eteki (79')
Abram (81' og.)
Laguardia (45+1'), Lopez (86')
May 16, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 37
Alaves
4-2
Granada
Pons (8'), Duarte (21'), Joselu (66'), Rioja (72')
Guidetti (90+3'), Garcia (90+3')
Molina (31'), Puertas (63')
Perez (20'), Brice Eteki (30'), Duarte (45'), Quini (47')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid30236166204675
2Barcelona30207361342767
3GironaGirona30205562362665
4Atletico MadridAtletico30184856352158
5Athletic Bilbao30168650282256
6Real Sociedad301310743311249
7Real BetisBetis31111283837145
8Valencia30128103332144
9Osasuna30116133643-739
10Villarreal30108124853-538
11Getafe30911103743-638
12Las PalmasLas Palmas30107132933-437
13AlavesAlaves3088142636-1032
14Sevilla30710133744-731
15Mallorca30613112535-1031
16Rayo Vallecano30612122538-1330
17Celta Vigo31610153346-1328
18CadizCadiz30413132140-1925
19Granada3028203060-3014
20Almeria30110192860-3213


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