Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 41.61%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 29.82% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 0-1 (10.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Las Palmas in this match.
| Result | ||
| Alaves | Draw | Las Palmas |
| 41.61% ( | 28.57% ( | 29.82% ( |
| Both teams to score 44.9% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.75% ( | 61.24% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.82% ( | 81.17% ( |
| Alaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.99% ( | 29.01% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.09% ( | 64.91% ( |
| Las Palmas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.24% ( | 36.75% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.46% ( | 73.54% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Alaves | Draw | Las Palmas |
| 1-0 @ 13.19% ( 2-1 @ 8.17% ( 2-0 @ 8.17% ( 3-1 @ 3.37% ( 3-0 @ 3.37% ( 3-2 @ 1.69% ( 4-1 @ 1.04% ( 4-0 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 1.57% Total : 41.61% | 1-1 @ 13.2% 0-0 @ 10.66% ( 2-2 @ 4.09% ( Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.56% | 0-1 @ 10.67% ( 1-2 @ 6.61% ( 0-2 @ 5.34% ( 1-3 @ 2.21% ( 0-3 @ 1.78% ( 2-3 @ 1.37% ( Other @ 1.84% Total : 29.82% |