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Almeria
Athletic Bilbao logo
Atletico Madrid logo
Barcelona logo
Cadiz logo
Celta Vigo logo
Getafe logo
Girona logo
Granada logo
Las Palmas
Mallorca logo
Osauna logo
Rayo Vallecano logo
Real Betis logo
Real Madrid logo
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Alaves logo
La Liga | Gameweek 16
Dec 9, 2023 at 1pm UK
Estadio de Mendizorroza
Las Palmas
Alaves
0 - 1
Las Palmas

Abqar (48'), Marin (90+7'), Gorosabel (90+2'), Garcia (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Rodriguez (31')
Cardona (8'), Munoz (33'), Herrera (90+8'), Park (90+7')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Alaves and Las Palmas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Terrassa 0-1 Alaves
Wednesday, December 6 at 3pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Tudelano 1-2 Las Palmas
Wednesday, December 6 at 8pm in Copa del Rey

We said: Alaves 0-1 Las Palmas

Games involving Las Palmas are not often high-scoring affairs, and we are also expecting this to be a very tight match in terms of the scoreline. Both Segunda Division meetings between the two sides last season finished level, but we are backing Las Palmas to shade a close contest this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 41.61%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 29.82% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 0-1 (10.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Las Palmas in this match.

Result
AlavesDrawLas Palmas
41.61% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07) 28.57% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01) 29.82% (0.084 0.08)
Both teams to score 44.9% (0.061 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.75% (0.060000000000002 0.06)61.24% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.82% (0.044 0.04)81.17% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.99% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)29.01% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.09% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)64.91% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Las Palmas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.24% (0.097999999999999 0.1)36.75% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.46% (0.097999999999999 0.1)73.54% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Alaves 41.61%
    Las Palmas 29.82%
    Draw 28.56%
AlavesDrawLas Palmas
1-0 @ 13.19% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.17% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 8.17% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.37% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 3.37% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.69% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.04% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.04% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 41.61%
1-1 @ 13.2%
0-0 @ 10.66% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.09% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 28.56%
0-1 @ 10.67% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.61% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.34% (0.017 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.21% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.78% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.37% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 29.82%

How you voted: Alaves vs Las Palmas

Alaves
37.9%
Draw
20.7%
Las Palmas
41.4%
29
Head to Head
May 27, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 42
Las Palmas
0-0
Alaves
Park (90')
Blanco (31'), Benavidez (42'), Duarte (60'), Rioja (90+1'), Sevilla (90+5')
Sep 3, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 4
Alaves
1-1
Las Palmas
Rebbach (24')
Cardona (54')
Mfulu (44'), Suarez (49')
Apr 22, 2018 5.30pm
Las Palmas
0-4
Alaves

Aguirregaray (26'), Galvez (90')
El Haddadi (51', 73'), Medran (79'), Sobrino (90')
Duarte (39'), Ely (49')
Dec 8, 2017 8pm
Apr 23, 2017 5.30pm
Las Palmas
1-1
Alaves
Boateng (44')
Mesa (22'), Michel (73'), Garcia (78'), Montoro (90')
Livaja (87')
Gomez (61')
Deyverson (56')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid25195153163762
2Barcelona26176356342257
3GironaGirona25175354322256
4Atletico MadridAtletico26164652282452
5Athletic Bilbao25147445232249
6Real Sociedad26101063526940
7Real BetisBetis2591242825339
8Valencia2510692929036
9Las PalmasLas Palmas25105102525035
10Getafe2681083338-534
11Osasuna2595112936-732
12AlavesAlaves2678112532-729
13Villarreal2678113848-1029
14Rayo Vallecano25510102233-1125
15Sevilla2559113037-724
16Mallorca26412102334-1124
17Celta Vigo2548132737-1020
18CadizCadiz25211121535-2017
19Granada2528152749-2214
20Almeria2609172554-299

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